Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
739High impact
290Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

22 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Services PMI 52.5 -- 52.3 High impact
8:30 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Composite PMI Final 53.5 -- 53.4 High impact
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Foreign Stock Investment 35.8B -- -869.0B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks 35.8B -- -764.1B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds 509.1B -- 435.2B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Foreign Bond Investment -824B -- -1,978.4B Medium impact
7:00 PM ET 🇦🇺 Australia Australian Services PMI Final 53.2 -- 52.9 Medium impact
7:00 PM ET 🇦🇺 Australia Australian Composite PMI Final 52.7 -- 52.5 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories -1.173M -1.60M -2.536M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories 0.080M -- 1.176M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories -4.450M 0.06M 0.095M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US EIA Distillate Inventories 0.796M -1.50M -2.228M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Factory Orders MoM 0.9% 0.7% -0.3% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Core Durable Goods Revised 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Durable Goods Revised 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% Medium impact
9:45 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian BoC Rate Decision 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% High impact
8:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US ADP Employment Change 38k 47k 44k Medium impact Miss
7:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US MBA Mortgage Applications 0.8% -- -1.0% Medium impact
7:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.79% -- 6.78% High impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian PPI MoM 2.4% -- 0.0% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian PPI YoY 7.8% -- 5.8% Medium impact
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French Budget Balance -145.91B -- -106.77B Medium impact

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

18 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 PM ET 🇳🇿 New Zealand New Zealand Cash Rate 2.75% 2.75% 2.50% High impact
9:30 PM ET 🇦🇺 Australia Australian Real GDP QoQ 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% High impact Beat
9:30 PM ET 🇦🇺 Australia Australian Real GDP YoY 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% High impact Beat
7:50 PM ET 🇯🇵 Japan Japanese Monetary Base YoY -15.7% -- -13.8% Low impact
7:00 PM ET 🇰🇷 South Korea South Korean CPI MoM 0.20% 0.40% -0.20% High impact Beat
7:00 PM ET 🇰🇷 South Korea South Korean CPI YoY 3.10% 3.20% 2.80% High impact Beat
6:45 PM ET 🇳🇿 New Zealand New Zealand Building Consents -4.3% -- -3.6% Low impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Gasoline Stock Change 0.3M -- -3.2M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change -2.6M -- 4.2M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Cushing Stock Change 0.2M -- 1.0M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Distillate Stock Change -0.3M -- -0.5M High impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 52-Week Bill High Yield 3.980% -- 3.880% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.610 -- 3.620 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US JOLTS Job Openings 7.271M 7.313M 7.359M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Construction Spending MoM -0.5% 0.0% -0.1% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US ISM Mfg. Employment Index 51.2 52.5 52.8 Low impact
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US ISM Manufacturing PMI 54.6 55.2 55.6 High impact Miss
10:00 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US ISM Mfg. New Orders Index 53.7 56.8 56.7 Low impact
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