Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
736High impact
289Beat forecast
231Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

38 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
6:45 PM ET 🇳🇿 New Zealand New Zealand Current Account QoQ -1.67B -2.60B -1.008B Medium impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Gasoline Stock Change 1.5M -- -1.9M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change 7.1M -1.8M -0.3M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Distillate Stock Change 1.6M -- 2.0M High impact
4:30 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US API Cushing Stock Change -0.246M -- -0.30M High impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 20-Year Bond High Yield 5.420% -- 5.204% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET 🇺🇸 United States US 20-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover 2.570 -- 2.530 Medium impact
8:55 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US Redbook YoY 8.5% -- 8.3% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET 🇨🇦 Canada Canadian Wholesale Sales MoM 0.3% -0.5% 2.8% High impact
8:30 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US NY Fed Manufacturing 7.60 15.00 20.60 Medium impact
8:15 AM ET 🇺🇸 United States US ADP Wkly Employment Change 16,250.0 -- 12,250.0 High impact
5:30 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover 1.3 -- 1.5 Medium impact
5:30 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Yield 3.27% -- 2.85% Medium impact
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone ZEW Survey Expectations 25.8 -- 31.4 Medium impact
5:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German ZEW Economic Sentiment 34.7 40.0 34.2 High impact Miss
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Trade Balance 5B -- 2B High impact
5:00 AM ET 🇪🇺 Eurozone Eurozone Trade Balance NSA 14.2B -- 8.6B Low impact
5:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German ZEW Current Conditions -47.1 -52.1 -61.1 High impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian International Trade Balance 8.240B -- 4.232B Low impact
4:00 AM ET 🇮🇹 Italy Italian Trade Balance EU 1.251B -- 1.577B Low impact
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish HICP MoM Final 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% Medium impact Miss
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish CPI YoY Final 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% High impact In line
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish HICP YoY Final 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% Medium impact Miss
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish Core CPI YoY 2.9% -- 3.0% High impact
3:00 AM ET 🇪🇸 Spain Spanish CPI MoM Final 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% High impact In line
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French CPI MoM NSA 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% High impact In line
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French HICP YoY Final 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% High impact Beat
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French HICP MoM Final 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% High impact Beat
2:45 AM ET 🇫🇷 France French CPI YoY NSA 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Unemployment Change 27.8k 5.0K -11.0k High impact
2:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Wholesale Price Index YoY 6.8% -- 5.3% Low impact
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Average Weekly Earnings YoY 3.9% 3.9% 4.1% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET 🇳🇴 Norway Norwegian Trade Balance 100.40B -- 84.30B Medium impact
2:00 AM ET 🇩🇪 Germany German Wholesale Price Index MoM 0.9% -- 0.2% Low impact
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Employment Change 3M/3M 67k 67k 83k High impact In line
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Employment Change SA -26k -5k -13k High impact Miss
2:00 AM ET 🇬🇧 United Kingdom UK Unemployment Rate 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% High impact In line

Monday, September 14, 2026

2 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese Retail Sales YoY 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% High impact Miss
10:00 PM ET 🇨🇳 China Chinese Urban Investment YTD YoY -7.2% -7.1% -6.7% High impact
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