Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
753Releases shown
29Moved something
150Beat forecast
175Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, October 30, 2026
39 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.3 | 49.9 | 50.1 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 3.00% | 3.30% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Prelim | -0.20% | 0.10% | 0.60% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 3.10% | 3.30% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian GDP MoM | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP YoY Prelim Flash | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP QoQ Prelim Flash | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Prelim | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Prelim | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Prelim | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Prelim | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.0% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP QoQ Flash | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI MoM | -0.2% | -- | -0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 2.7% | -- | 3.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | -0.2% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY NSA Flash | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY SA Flash | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP YoY Prelim | 0.8% | -- | 1.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 3.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Change SA | 4k | 5k | 12k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total SA | 3.016M | -- | 3.012M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total NSA | 2.955M | -- | 2.994M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss KOF Indicator | 107.6 | 108.1 | 109.1 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.60% | 0.70% | 0.30% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French PPI YoY | 6.8% | -- | 4.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI MoM NSA Prelim | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI YoY NSA Prelim | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP YoY Prelim | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP MoM Prelim | 0.4% | 0.3% | -0.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP QoQ | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP YoY | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP QoQ Prelim | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP YoY Prelim | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move |
Thursday, October 29, 2026
1 release| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Large Scale Retail Sales YoY | 2% | -- | 1% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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