Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
0Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, October 30, 2026
40 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI | 49.7 | 50.0 | 50.2 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Composite PMI | 49.7 | -- | 50.7 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.3 | 49.9 | 50.1 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 603 | -- | 603 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 462 | -- | 460 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Budget Balance | -5.36B | -- | -4.77B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Chicago PMI | 55.3 | 56.0 | 58.8 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 3.00% | 3.30% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP MoM Prelim | -0.10% | 0.10% | 0.60% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Prelim | -0.20% | 0.10% | 0.60% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 3.10% | 3.30% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian GDP MoM | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Employment Costs | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP YoY Prelim Flash | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP QoQ Prelim Flash | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Prelim | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Prelim | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.7% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Prelim | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Prelim | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.0% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP QoQ Flash | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI MoM | -0.2% | -- | -0.2% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 2.7% | -- | 3.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | -0.2% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY NSA Flash | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY SA Flash | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP YoY Prelim | 0.8% | -- | 1.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 3.2% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Change SA | 4k | 5k | 12k | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total SA | 3.016M | -- | 3.012M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total NSA | 2.955M | -- | 2.994M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch GDP QoQ Prelim SA | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch GDP YoY Prelim NSA | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss KOF Indicator | 107.6 | 108.1 | 109.1 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.60% | 0.70% | 0.30% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Current Account Balance | 5.05B | -- | 5.91B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
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