Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
739High impact
287Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

18 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.720 -- 2.710 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Year Note High Yield 4.474% -- 4.291% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.800% -- 3.770% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.880 -- 2.630 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Awarded High 79.100% -- 49.270% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Awarded High 20.330% -- 66.770% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.610 -- 2.770 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.890% -- 3.885% Medium impact
11:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US NY Fed 1 Yr Inflation Expectations 3.58% 3.60% 3.63% Medium impact Beat
6:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US NFIB Business Optimism Index 98.70 99.30 99.80 Low impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Current Account -4.7B -- -1.4B Medium impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Trade Balance SA -6.67B -- -5.85B Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Imports MoM SA -5.7% -1.0% 4.4% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Trade Balance SA 21.3B 15.8B 15.4B Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Exports MoM SA -0.8% 0.3% 0.9% Medium impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Economy Watchers Poll 46.4 46.2 45.7 Low impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch CPI YoY 3.3% -- 3.2% High impact
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch CPI MoM 0.3% -- 1.6% High impact

Monday, September 7, 2026

20 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Consumer Sentiment -5.2% -- 6.0% Low impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Current Account NSA Yen 2988.9B 2849.5B -92.3B High impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Bank Lending YoY 5.4% -- 5.4% Low impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese GDP QoQ Revised 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% High impact In line
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese GDP Rev QoQ Annualised 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% High impact Miss
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese GDP Deflator YoY Final 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% Low impact In line
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Average Cash Earnings YoY 4.7% 3.8% 3.4% Low impact
7:01 PM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK BRC Retail Sales YoY 0.5% -- 1.0% Low impact
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean GDP YoY Revised 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% Medium impact In line
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean GDP QoQ Revised 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% Medium impact In line
6:45 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Manufacturing Sales 0.8% -- 3.6% Low impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Employment QoQ Final 0.1% -- 0.1% Low impact
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone GDP YoY Revised 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% High impact Beat
5:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone GDP QoQ Revised 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% High impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index 5.1 1.7 0.9 Medium impact
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Unemployment Rate Adjusted 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% Medium impact In line
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Unemployment Rate Unadjusted 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% Low impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Industrial Production YoY SA -1.63% 0.00% 0.00% High impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Industrial Production MoM -1.1% 0.2% 0.2% High impact Miss
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Leading Indicator Change 1.7 -- 0.0 Low impact

Friday, September 4, 2026

2 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 588 -- 588 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 449 -- 447 Medium impact
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