Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
739High impact
287Beat forecast
232Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Friday, September 11, 2026

24 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Prelim 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% Low impact Miss
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Prelim 4.6% 4.2% 4.0% Low impact Miss
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan Condition Prelim 50.9 51.3 51.9 Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan Expectations Prelim 45.8 51.0 51.5 Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US University Michigan Sentiment Prelim 47.8 51.0 51.7 High impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core CPI YoY 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% High impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CPI MoM 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% High impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core CPI MoM 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% High impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CPI YoY 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% High impact In line
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Current Account Balance NSA 21.2B -- 19.0B Low impact
6:30 AM ET πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia Russian Interest Rate Decision 14.00% 14.00% 14.00% High impact
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK 1 Yr Inflation Expectations 3.2% -- 4.0% Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK GDP Estimate YoY 1.6% 1.0% 1.1% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Industrial Production MoM 0.2% -0.2% -0.2% Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Goods Trade Balance -20.96B -22.40B -23.01B Medium impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing Production YoY 2.6% -- 0.5% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK GDP Estimate 3M/3M 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK GDP Estimate MoM 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU -9.663B -- -10.448B Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Construction Output MoM 0.1% 0.1% -0.1% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Services MoM 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing Production MoM 0.9% 0.2% -0.5% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Industrial Production YoY 0.6% 0.2% -0.2% Medium impact Beat
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Trade Balance 10.912B -- 10.432B Medium impact

Thursday, September 10, 2026

16 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Business Survey Index 7.6% -- -1.8% Low impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese PPI YoY 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% High impact Miss
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese PPI MoM -0.2% 0.0% 0.1% High impact Beat
6:30 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Manufacturing PMI 53.1 -- 54.3 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 30-Year Bond High Yield 5.308% -- 5.216% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 30-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover 2.610 -- 2.390 Medium impact
12:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories 1.269M -1.275M -1.173M Medium impact
12:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories -0.391M -1.35M -4.450M Medium impact
12:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Distillate Inventories 2.087M -0.70M 0.796M Medium impact
12:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories -0.684M -- 0.080M Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.775% -- 3.700% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.810 -- 2.970 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 40B 34B 30B High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Existing Home Sales 3.98M 3.98M 4.06M High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Existing Home Sales change -2.0% -1.7% -1.7% Medium impact
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