Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
761Releases shown
29Moved something
152Beat forecast
175Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, July 30, 2026
23 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Prelim | 0.80% | 0.70% | -0.30% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Bank Rate | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP YoY Prelim Flash | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Unemployment Rate | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP QoQ Prelim Flash | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP YoY Prelim | 1.0% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | 0.9% | -- | -0.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.20% | 0.05% | 0.30% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.6% | -- | -0.2% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 2.7% | -- | 2.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI MoM | 0.7% | -- | -0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.60% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP QoQ | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP YoY | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY SA Flash | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY NSA Flash | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP QoQ Flash | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.2% | 0.2% | -0.1% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP YoY Prelim | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
4 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Building Approvals | 7.2% | -0.5% | -1.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Interest Rate Decision | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.76% | -- | 6.69% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | 0.6% | -- | 0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
13 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY NSA | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | -- | 3.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQ | 0.7% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI QoQ | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY | 4.0% | -- | 4.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 0.918M | -- | -1.379M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.125M | -- | 1.759M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 0.273M | -- | -0.737M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 3.296M | -2.50M | 2.60M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 15.0k | -- | 16.5k | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Unemployment Rate | 9.87% | 10.10% | 10.83% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable |
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