Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
760Releases shown
29Moved something
152Beat forecast
175Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, August 13, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate MoM | 0.30% | -0.05% | 0.10% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, August 12, 2026
11 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese PPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese PPI YoY | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI YoY | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.4% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.77% | -- | 6.81% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Final | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Final | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Final | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
7 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 1.571M | -- | 2.40M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.596M | -- | -1.20M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -1.531M | -- | 0.20M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 9.072M | -0.50M | 2.70M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Existing Home Sales | 4.06M | 4.05M | 4.09M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 8.25k | -- | 15.00k | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Cash Rate | 4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Friday, August 7, 2026
9 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Earnings YoY | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Nonfarm Payrolls | -23k | 80k | 57k | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.00% | 3.35% | 3.70% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Participation Rate | 65.1% | 65.0% | 65.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Employment Change | 75.1k | 20.0k | 18.2k | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Production MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Production YoY SA | 0.00% | 0.10% | 0.11% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable |
Thursday, August 6, 2026
5 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 33B | 30B | 28B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Sales MoM | -3.0% | -- | 3.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales MoM | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales YoY | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Orders MoM | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
6 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Imports | -0.2% | -- | 2.6% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Exports | 9.6% | -- | -6.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Trade Balance | 1,929M | -1080M | -3,018M | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Services PMI | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Services PMI Final | 54.6 | 53.6 | 53.6 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Composite PMI Final | 54.5 | -- | 53.6 | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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