Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
738High impact
290Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Friday, August 21, 2026

23 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Retail Sales MoM 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% High impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.5 51.5 51.9 Medium impact In line
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Services PMI Flash 52.8 51.8 52.1 Medium impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Composite PMI Flash 52.5 51.6 52.2 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.8 51.8 51.9 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Composite PMI Flash 52.1 51.7 52.0 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Services PMI Flash 51.7 51.5 51.7 Medium impact Beat
3:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Composite PMI Flash 51.0 51.3 51.3 Medium impact Miss
3:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Manufacturing PMI Flash 54.1 52.1 52.2 Medium impact Beat
3:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Service PMI Flash 48.5 50.1 49.8 Medium impact Miss
3:15 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.5 50.0 49.8 Medium impact Beat
3:15 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Services PMI Flash 48.4 49.4 49.6 Medium impact Miss
3:15 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Comp Flash PMI 48.8 49.5 49.4 Medium impact Miss
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Business Climate Overall 98 98 97 High impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Business Climate Mfg 103 101 101 High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Retail Sales YoY 1.6% 2.2% 4.2% High impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK PSNB ex Banks 1.800B -- 15.989B Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Retail Sales MoM -0.5% -0.5% 1.0% High impact In line
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Core Retail Sales MoM -0.9% -0.5% 1.1% High impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Core Retail Sales YoY 2.3% 3.3% 5.4% High impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish Unemployment Rate 7.8% -- 9.9% High impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish Unemployment Rate SA 8.60% 8.75% 8.90% High impact Beat
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Consumer Confidence Adjusted -34 -- -35 Medium impact

Thursday, August 20, 2026

17 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Composite PMI Flash 53.4 -- 52.7 High impact
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Mfg PMI Flash 55.1 -- 54.5 Medium impact
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Core CPI Nationwide YoY 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% High impact In line
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese CPI Overall Nationwide 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% High impact In line
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Services PMI Flash 52.9 -- 53.6 Medium impact
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.0 -- 52.0 Medium impact
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Composite PMI Flash 52.5 -- 53.2 Medium impact
6:45 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Annual Trade Bal. -3.75B -- -3.75B Medium impact
6:45 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand Trade Balance -1949.0M -- 23.0M Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI MoM -0.4% -- 0.0% Medium impact
5:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean PPI YoY 7.7% -- 8.6% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 30-Year TIPS High Yield 2.973% -- 2.473% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 30-Year TIPS Bid-to-Cover 2.820 -- 2.750 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.840 -- 2.770 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.640% -- 3.625% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 16B 14B 36B High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Leading Index Change MoM 0.2% 0.1% -0.2% Low impact
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