Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
736High impact
290Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

20 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CB Consumer Confidence 89.4 90.2 90.8 Medium impact Miss
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales - Units 0.607M 0.62M 0.628M High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales Change MoM -10.5% -1.4% 1.6% Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Richmond Fed Comp. Index 4 7 5 Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US House Price Index MoM 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US House Price Index YoY 2.3% -- 2.2% Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CaseShiller 20 YoY 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% Medium impact
8:55 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Redbook YoY 9.1% -- 7.6% Medium impact
8:15 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US ADP Wkly Employment Change 11.75k -- 9.50k High impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover 1.5 -- 1.4 Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 2 Yr Schatz Yield 2.85% -- 2.78% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Expectations 89.1 87.5 86.7 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Current Conditions 88.5 87.0 86.5 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Business Climate 88.8 87.2 86.6 Medium impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Consumer Confidence 86 87 86 Medium impact Miss
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German GDP YoY Final NSA 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German GDP QoQ Final 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% High impact Beat
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German GDP YoY Final SA 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% Medium impact Beat
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Chain Store Sales YoY 0% -- -2% High impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Leading Indicator Change Rev. 0.0 -- 0.0 High impact

Monday, August 24, 2026

7 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.715% -- 3.715% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Awarded High 59.640% -- 18.550% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.790% -- 3.780% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Awarded High 97.660% -- 44.680% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.050 -- 2.970 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 3.080 -- 2.860 Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Chicago National Activity Index -0.08 -0.09 -0.02 Medium impact

Friday, August 21, 2026

13 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 452 -- 455 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 588 -- 593 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Consumer Confidence Flash -15.5 -16.0 -15.9 High impact Beat
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Manufacturing PMI Flash 53.2 53.9 53.9 Medium impact Miss
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Composite PMI Flash 56.0 54.0 54.5 Medium impact Beat
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Services PMI Flash 56.8 54.0 54.6 Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Retail Sales MoM 0.6% 0.4% 1.0% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Core Retail Sales MoM 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% High impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Manufacturing PMI Flash 51.5 51.5 51.9 Medium impact In line
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Composite PMI Flash 52.5 51.6 52.2 Medium impact Beat
4:30 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK Services PMI Flash 52.8 51.8 52.1 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Flash 52.8 51.8 51.9 Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Services PMI Flash 51.7 51.5 51.7 Medium impact Beat
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