Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
737High impact
289Beat forecast
233Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

23 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories 0.095M 1.58M 4.405M Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core Durable Goods 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP QoQ 2nd Estimate 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% High impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Personal Income MoM 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Real Personal Consumption MoM 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP Deflator SA Prelim 6.4% -- 6.3% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Prices Prelim 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Prices Prelim 5.3% -- 5.1% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Price Index YoY 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Price Index MoM 0.2% 0.1% -0.1% Medium impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US GDP Price Index 6.4% 6.2% 6.2% High impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Durable Goods 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Consumer Spending MoM 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Price Index YoY 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% Medium impact In line
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Core PCE Price Index MoM 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% Medium impact In line
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.78% -- 6.77% High impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA Mortgage Applications -1.0% -- -0.4% Medium impact
6:00 AM ET πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ United Kingdom UK CBI Distributive Trades -48 -35 -26 Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 15 Yr Bund Yield 3.50% -- 3.46% Medium impact
5:30 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German 15 Yr Bid-to-Cover 2.0 -- 1.8 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss ZEW Expectations 12.1 -- 10.0 Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish PPI MoM 0.1% -- 0.1% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish PPI YoY 6.4% -- 7.4% Medium impact

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

17 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian CPI Trimmed Mean YoY 3.6% 3.5% 3.6% High impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian CPI YoY NSA 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% High impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Construction Work Done QoQ -2.1% 0.4% 3.4% Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Service PPI 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% Medium impact Miss
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Gasoline Stock Change -3.20M -- 1.076M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Distillate Stock Change -0.50M -- -2.797M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Cushing Stock Change 1.00M -- -1.438M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change 4.20M 1.90M -0.328M High impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note High Yield 4.204% -- 4.315% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.600 -- 2.660 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CB Consumer Confidence 89.4 90.2 90.8 Medium impact Miss
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales Change MoM -10.5% -1.4% 1.6% Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales - Units 0.607M 0.62M 0.628M High impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Richmond Fed Comp. Index 4 7 5 Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US House Price Index YoY 2.3% -- 2.2% Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US House Price Index MoM 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% Medium impact
9:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US CaseShiller 20 YoY 2.1% 1.8% 1.6% Medium impact
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