Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
737High impact
289Beat forecast
233Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Thursday, August 27, 2026

25 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Jobs/Applicants Ratio 1.18 1.19 1.18 Medium impact
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Tokyo CPI Overall 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% High impact In line
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Tokyo Core CPI YoY 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% High impact In line
7:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Unemployment Rate 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% High impact Beat
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 7-Year Bid-to-Cover 2.500 -- 2.490 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 7-Year High Yield 4.512% -- 4.473% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.730 -- 2.840 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 4-Week Bill High Yield 3.650% -- 3.640% Medium impact
11:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Kansas City Fed Manufacturing 17 -- 17 Medium impact
11:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Kansas City Fed Composite Index 10.0 9.5 9.0 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF 15B 15B 16B High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada Canadian Current Account 8.836B 3.90B -7.18B Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Continued Jobless Claims 1.778M 1.792M 1.799M Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Initial Jobless Claims 203k 208k 206k Medium impact Beat
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Advance Goods Trade Balance -118.80B -100.50B -101.41B Low impact Miss
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Adv. 0.7% -- -0.4% Low impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Wholesale Inventories MoM Advance 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% Low impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Non Financial Firms 4.4% -- 4.0% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Money-M3 Annual Growth 3.4% 3.5% 3.3% Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Eurozone Eurozone Loans to Households 3.1% -- 3.0% Medium impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French PPI MoM 1.1% -- -0.6% Medium impact
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French PPI YoY 3.4% -- 2.6% Medium impact
2:30 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss Non-Farm Payrolls 5.698M -- 5.537M Low impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡΄ Norway Norwegian Mainland GDP MoM 0.0% -- 0.5% Medium impact
2:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden Swedish Trade Balance 1.2B -- 2.6B Medium impact

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

15 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Building Capex 2.1% -- -3.8% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Industrial profit YTD 17.6% -- 18.7% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Capital Expenditure QoQ -3.6% 0.8% 6.5% High impact
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Bank of Korea Base Rate 3.00% 3.00% 2.75% High impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Stock Investment -869B -- 1,391.3B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks -764.1B -- 621.2B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Bond Investment -1978.4B -- 1.0,135.1B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds 435.2B -- -1.0,249.9B Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.370 -- 2.280 Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note High Yield 4.393% -- 4.408% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories 1.176M -- -1.314M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories 0.095M 1.58M 4.405M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Distillate Inventories -2.228M -1.90M -1.530M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories -2.536M -1.10M 0.688M Medium impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US PCE Price Index MoM 0.2% 0.1% -0.1% Medium impact Miss
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