Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1989Releases tracked
737High impact
289Beat forecast
233Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

1 release
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
12:30 AM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡± Netherlands Dutch Retail Sales YoY 3.5% -- 4.3% High impact

Monday, August 31, 2026

30 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:45 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Manufacturing PMI 51.5 51.0 50.9 High impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Private House Approvals -4.2% -- 0.4% Low impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Building Approvals -3.6% -5.0% 7.2% High impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Current Account Balance -27.2B -- -27.1B High impact
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Manufacturing PMI 52.3 -- 53.1 High impact
8:30 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Mfg PMI 54.9 -- 55.1 High impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Exports Prelim 68.7% 63.0% 63.0% Medium impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Imports Prelim 22.5% 25.0% 26.5% Medium impact
8:00 PM ET πŸ‡°πŸ‡· South Korea South Korean Trade Balance Prelim 34.748B 30.10B 30.39B Medium impact Beat
7:00 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Manufacturing PMI Final 52.0 -- 52.0 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.770 -- 3.080 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Awarded High 49.270% -- 59.640% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Bill High Yield 3.770% -- 3.715% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover 2.630 -- 3.050 Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 6-Month Bill High Yield 3.885% -- 3.790% Medium impact
11:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 3-Month Awarded High 66.770% -- 97.660% Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Dallas Fed Mfg. Bus. Index 11.60 1.60 1.30 Medium impact
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Chicago PMI 47.1 57.9 57.6 Medium impact Miss
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German HICP MoM Prelim 0.20% 0.30% 0.90% Medium impact Beat
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German CPI YoY Prelim 2.90% 3.00% 2.80% High impact Beat
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German CPI MoM Prelim 0.20% 0.30% 0.80% High impact Beat
8:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German HICP YoY Prelim 2.90% 3.10% 2.80% Medium impact Beat
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish Current Account Balance 2.41B -- 1.84B Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German North-Rhine CPI YoY 2.9% -- 2.7% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Saxony CPI MoM 0.1% -- 0.7% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Bavaria CPI MoM 0.2% -- 0.6% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German North Rhine CPI MoM 0.2% -- 0.9% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Bavaria CPI YoY 2.9% -- 2.8% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German Saxony CPI YoY 2.9% -- 2.8% High impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Housing Starts YoY 8.2% 7.6% 18.6% Medium impact Beat

Sunday, August 30, 2026

9 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Gross Company Profits 1.8% 2.0% -1.3% Low impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Business Inventories -0.2% 0.5% 0.5% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Private Sector Credit 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI 49.8 49.5 49.2 Medium impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI 49.0 49.5 49.0 Medium impact Miss
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Housing Credit 0.5% -- 0.6% Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China Chinese Composite PMI 49.5 -- 49.3 Medium impact
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook 53.7 -- 56.1 Medium impact
9:00 PM ET πŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity 48.2 -- 49.3 Medium impact
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