Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
17 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π©πͺ Germany | German ZEW Current Conditions | -35.9 | -44.5 | -47.1 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Bid-to-Cover | 3.61 | -- | 3.34 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Yield | 5.418% | -- | 5.383% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Construction Output MoM | 1.85% | -- | 0.00% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 28.1 | 30.0 | 34.7 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone ZEW Survey Expectations | 18.5 | -- | 25.8 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account NSA | 7.70B | -- | 36.50B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account | 8.709B | -- | 27.628B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss Trade Balance | 1,309M | -- | 4,354M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change SA | 13k | -8k | -26k | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Rate | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI MoM | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Change | 30.3k | -- | 27.8k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change 3M/3M | 102k | 5k | 67k | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Weekly Earnings YoY | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI YoY | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move |
Monday, October 19, 2026
15 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 5 Yr | 3.50% | 3.50% | 3.50% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 1 Yr | 3.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 4.095% | -- | 4.085% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.840 | -- | 2.760 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 4.220% | -- | 4.200% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.770 | -- | 2.680 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US NAHB Housing Market Index | 29 | 31 | 32 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Trim | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI YoY | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian BoC Core CPI MoM | 0.0% | -- | 0.1% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Core CPI MoM | 0.1% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Median | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.2% | -0.1% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian BoC Core CPI YoY | 2.2% | -- | 2.4% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Common | 2.4% | -- | 2.6% | High impact | No measurable move |
Sunday, October 18, 2026
8 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Unemployment Rate | 5.200% | 5.30% | 5.300% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Retail Sales YoY | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Urban Investment YTD YoY | -7.2% | -7.3% | -7.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Industrial Output YoY | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese GDP QoQ SA | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese GDP YoY | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese New House Prices YoY | -2.8% | -- | -3.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Imports | 8.44B | -- | 8.00B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
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