Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
25 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 1454.2B | -- | 1.0,080.1B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | -66.5B | -- | 3.0,521.5B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 128.3B | -- | -760.6B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | -161.6B | -- | -339.7B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand CPI QoQ | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand CPI YoY | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US 20-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.730 | -- | 2.570 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 20-Year Bond High Yield | 5.469% | -- | 5.420% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 0.987M | -- | 1.862M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -2.952M | -0.31M | 3.518M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | 1.675M | -1.24M | -2.527M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -3.060M | -0.34M | -8.557M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -5.3% | -- | -2.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 7.41% | -- | 7.50% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices YoY | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices MoM | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services CPI YoY | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CPI YoY | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices MoM | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CPI MoM | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK RPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | 0.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices YoY | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core CPI YoY | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PSNB ex Banks | 24.520B | -- | 18.268B | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
15 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Total Trade Balance | -536.5B | -210.4B | -1.0,111.9B | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Imports YoY | 18.9% | 20.4% | 28.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Exports YoY | 16.7% | 21.3% | 19.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Crude Stock Change | -4.93M | -1.30M | -11.21M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 0.936M | -- | 1.823M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -2.6M | -- | -1.5M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -2.577M | -- | 1.10M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Home Sales Change MoM | -7.3% | -0.5% | 0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Homes Index | 66.0 | -- | 71.2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Redbook YoY | 9.0% | -- | 10.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits | 1.400M | 1.385M | 1.403M | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts Change MoM | -5.2% | 1.9% | -2.6% | Low impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits Change MoM | -0.2% | -1.3% | -2.1% | Low impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts | 1.221M | 1.305M | 1.275M | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 18.50k | -- | 24.75k | High impact | No measurable move |
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