Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
4 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Consumer Credit | 1.807B | 1.70B | 1.662B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss ZEW Expectations | 10.0 | -- | -25.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | 0.6% | -- | 0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish GDP YoY Advance | 2.8% | -- | 2.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
23 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | -- | 3.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY NSA | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY | 4.0% | -- | 4.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI QoQ | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQ | 0.7% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 0.273M | -- | -0.737M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.125M | -- | 1.759M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 0.918M | -- | -1.379M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 3.296M | -2.50M | 2.60M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 7-Year Bid-to-Cover | 2.490 | -- | 2.500 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 7-Year High Yield | 4.473% | -- | 4.260% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Richmond Fed Comp. Index | 5 | 6 | 4 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CB Consumer Confidence | 90.8 | 92.4 | 91.2 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index YoY | 2.2% | -- | 2.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index MoM | 0.3% | 0.1% | -0.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CaseShiller 20 YoY | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.3% | -- | 7.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Advance | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Adv. | -0.2% | -- | 0.3% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Advance Goods Trade Balance | -101.50B | -100.00B | -105.89B | Low impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 15.0k | -- | 16.5k | High impact | Price data unavailable |