Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
1 release| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish Trade Balance | 4.1B | -- | -11.9B | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Monday, October 26, 2026
20 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Industrial profit YTD | 15.5% | -- | 15.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Service PPI | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean GDP QoQ Adv. | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean GDP YoY Adv. | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US 2-Year Note High Yield | 4.708% | -- | 4.787% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 2-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.590 | -- | 2.630 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 61.740% | -- | 86.090% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 82.290% | -- | 29.440% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.630 | -- | 2.840 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 4.210% | -- | 4.220% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 4.050% | -- | 4.095% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.070 | -- | 2.770 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Dallas Fed Mfg. Bus. Index | 13.40 | 8.80 | 9.80 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Chicago National Activity Index | 0.07 | -0.095 | -0.04 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CBI Distributive Trades | -10 | -48 | -55 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German IFO Expectations | 91.6 | 90.0 | 90.4 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German IFO Current Conditions | 88.8 | 89.8 | 89.5 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German IFO Business Climate | 90.2 | 89.9 | 89.9 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish PPI MoM | 3.4% | -- | 0.9% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish PPI YoY | 11.2% | -- | 6.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
Friday, October 23, 2026
19 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 603 | -- | 603 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 460 | -- | 459 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Final | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Sentiment Final | 48.0 | 46.3 | 46.3 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Expectations Final | 48.8 | 47.1 | 47.3 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Final | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Conditions Final | 46.7 | 44.9 | 44.7 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Manufacturing PMI Flash | 56.0 | 55.5 | 55.9 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Services PMI Flash | 57.9 | 58.0 | 58.8 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Composite PMI Flash | 57.6 | 57.6 | 58.4 | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Retail Sales MoM | 1.2% | 1.3% | -0.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Core Retail Sales MoM | 1.2% | 1.1% | -0.7% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π·πΊ Russia | Russian Interest Rate Decision | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Composite PMI Flash | 53.1 | 51.7 | 52.0 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.8 | 51.8 | 51.9 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services PMI Flash | 53.1 | 51.8 | 52.1 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.4 | 52.8 | 52.9 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Composite PMI Flash | 51.9 | 52.7 | 53.1 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Services PMI Flash | 51.7 | 52.5 | 53.0 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move |
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