Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
84Moved something
262Beat forecast
290Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, July 30, 2026
16 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch GDP YoY Prelim NSA | 1.3% | -- | 1.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch GDP QoQ Prelim SA | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.20% | 0.00% | 0.60% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Flash | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.6% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Flash | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss KOF Indicator | 103.5 | 100.9 | 101.2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP QoQ | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP YoY | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY SA Flash | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP QoQ Flash | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GDP YoY NSA Flash | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP YoY Prelim | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.2% | 0.2% | -0.1% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Manufacturing Confidence | 2.4 | -- | 1.3 | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
22 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Private House Approvals | 0.4% | -- | 2.8% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Import Prices QoQ | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Building Approvals | 7.2% | -0.5% | -1.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Export Prices QoQ | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity | 49.3 | -- | 36.9 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook | 56.1 | -- | 36.6 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Interest Rate Decision | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | -0.771M | -- | -0.674M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | 1.062M | 0.50M | 1.395M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 0.007M | -1.092M | 0.765M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -7.167M | 1.00M | 2.010M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -6.4% | -- | 1.9% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.76% | -- | 6.69% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Yield | 3.13% | -- | 3.09% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover | 1.1 | -- | 1.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK M4 Money Supply | 0.8% | -- | 0.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Approvals | 58.200k | 57.10k | 56.205k | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Lending | 7.727B | 3.90B | 2.889B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Consumer Credit | 1.807B | 1.70B | 1.662B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss ZEW Expectations | 10.0 | -- | -25.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | 0.6% | -- | 0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish GDP YoY Advance | 2.8% | -- | 2.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | -- | 3.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY NSA | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
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