Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
262Beat forecast
290Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, July 30, 2026
40 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI | 49.0 | 50.0 | 50.2 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.630% | -- | 3.730% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.800 | -- | 2.790 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 28B | 35B | 32B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PCE Prices Advance | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.782M | 1.795M | 1.796M | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Real Personal Consumption MoM | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Consumer Spending MoM | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP Deflator SA Advance | 6.3% | -- | 3.6% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.4% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP QoQ Advance | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PCE Prices Advance | 5.1% | -- | 4.6% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Personal Income MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP Price Index | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 197k | 200k | 187k | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Prelim | 0.80% | 0.70% | -0.30% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP MoM Prelim | 0.90% | 0.80% | -0.20% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 2.70% | 2.30% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Prelim | 2.80% | 2.80% | 2.40% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Hike | 3 | 2 | 2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 6 | 7 | 7 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Bank Rate | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI YoY | 5.8% | -- | 7.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI MoM | 0.0% | -- | -0.2% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP YoY Prelim Flash | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Unemployment Rate | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone GDP QoQ Prelim Flash | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP YoY Prelim | 1.0% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | 0.9% | -- | -0.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.20% | 0.05% | 0.30% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 2.8% | -- | 2.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 2.7% | -- | 2.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.6% | -- | -0.2% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Saxony CPI MoM | 0.7% | -- | -0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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