Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
261Beat forecast
289Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, August 4, 2026
16 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 0.20M | -- | 0.918M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill High Yield | 3.880% | -- | 3.860% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.620 | -- | 3.140 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core Durable Goods Revised | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US JOLTS Job Openings | 7.359M | 7.4535M | 7.594M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Durable Goods Revised | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Factory Orders MoM | -0.3% | 0.2% | -1.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Manufacturing PMI | 53.5 | -- | 53.0 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.7% | -- | 8.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Trade Balance | -73.3B | -73.0B | -77.6B | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Trade Balance | 3.86B | 3.00B | 4.24B | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Yield | 2.78 | -- | 1.10 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover | 1.40% | -- | 2.77% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Retail Sales YoY NSA | 3.10% | -- | 2.20% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Retail Sales MoM | -0.10% | -- | 0.20% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Budget Balance | -106.77B | -- | -93.31B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
Monday, August 3, 2026
24 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Monetary Base YoY | -13.8% | -- | -13.7% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean CPI YoY | 2.80% | 3.00% | 3.20% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean CPI MoM | -0.20% | -0.10% | 0.10% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 3.855% | -- | 3.945% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.980 | -- | 3.120 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.750% | -- | 3.815% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.610 | -- | 3.060 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. Employment Index | 52.8 | 50.0 | 49.7 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. Prices Paid | 71.1 | 71.0 | 73.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. New Orders Index | 56.7 | 56.7 | 56.0 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Construction Spending MoM | -0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Manufacturing PMI | 55.6 | 53.9 | 53.3 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final | 53.9 | 53.8 | 53.8 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing PMI Final | 51.9 | 52.8 | 52.8 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Final | 51.9 | 52.0 | 52.0 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Manufacturing PMI Final | 52.2 | 52.2 | 52.2 | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Manufacturing PMI | 53.2 | 54.9 | 54.3 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 50.3 | 49.7 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI MoM | 1.78% | 1.96% | 0.99% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI YoY | 31.75% | 31.93% | 32.11% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss CPI YoY | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss CPI MoM | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Real Retail Sales YoY | -0.2% | -- | 1.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
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