Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
261Beat forecast
289Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, August 6, 2026
1 release| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Consumer Spending | 1.7% | -- | 1.8% | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
27 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Trade Balance | 1,929M | -1080M | -3,018M | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Imports | -0.2% | -- | 2.6% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Exports | 9.6% | -- | -6.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | -392.5B | -- | 912.1B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | 477.9B | -- | -811.4B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | -276.4B | -- | 320.2B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Current Account Bal NSA | 49.7304B | -- | 38.61B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -1.643M | -1.45M | 0.007M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -3.473M | 0.419M | 1.062M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 2.479M | -1.50M | -7.167M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 2.356M | -- | -0.771M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Services Prices Paid | 70.3 | 65.0 | 67.7 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Services PMI | 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Services New Orders | 57.2 | 55.9 | 55.1 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US ISM Services Employment | 47.4 | 51.2 | 51.2 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Composite PMI Final | 54.5 | -- | 53.6 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US S&P Services PMI Final | 54.6 | 53.6 | 53.6 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US ADP Employment Change | 44k | 65k | 98k | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.81% | -- | 6.76% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -2.9% | -- | -6.4% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone PPI MoM | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0.2% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone PPI YoY | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services PMI Final | 52.1 | 51.8 | 51.8 | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Composite PMI Final | 52.2 | 52.1 | 52.1 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Composite Final PMI | 52.0 | 51.9 | 51.9 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π«π· France | French Services PMI | 49.6 | 49.8 | 49.8 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π«π· France | French Industrial Production MoM | 0.1% | 0.3% | -0.1% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, August 4, 2026
12 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Services PMI | 50.4 | 53.7 | 54.1 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Composite PMI Final | 52.7 | -- | 53.1 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Services PMI | 51.2 | -- | 51.9 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Average Cash Earnings YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Services PMI Final | 53.6 | -- | 53.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Composite PMI Final | 53.2 | -- | 52.6 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Participation Rate | 70.7% | 70.4% | 70.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Job Growth QoQ | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Unemployment Rate | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -1.20M | -- | -0.125M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 2.40M | -- | 0.273M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 2.70M | -2.00M | -3.296M | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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