Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
261Beat forecast
289Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, August 7, 2026
22 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Labor Force Participation | 61.4% | 61.6% | 61.5% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Private Payrolls | 30k | 82k | 49k | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Nonfarm Payrolls | -23k | 80k | 57k | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Government Payrolls | -53k | -- | 8k | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Manufacturing Payrolls | 5k | 4k | 3k | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Participation Rate | 65.1% | 65.0% | 65.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Unemployment Rate | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.00% | 3.35% | 3.70% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Earnings YoY | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Employment Change | 75.1k | 20.0k | 18.2k | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Average Earnings MoM | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Consumer Confidence SA | -34 | -34 | -41 | Low impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Current Account | -1.4B | -- | -0.1B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Trade Balance SA | -5.85B | -- | -6.93B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Production YoY SA | 0.00% | 0.10% | 0.11% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Production MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Exports MoM SA | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Imports MoM SA | 4.4% | 2.0% | -2.5% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Trade Balance SA | 15.4B | 17.2B | 19.1B | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French ILO Unemployment Rate | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | Low impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Leading Indicator Change | 0.0 | -- | 0.4 | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Thursday, August 6, 2026
18 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese All Household Spending YoY | -3.3% | 0.9% | -0.4% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.640% | -- | 3.630% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.680 | -- | 2.800 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 33B | 30B | 28B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Sales MoM | -3.0% | -- | 3.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Unit Labor Costs Prelim | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Productivity Prelim | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.801M | 1.789M | 1.782M | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 199k | 205k | 197k | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Challenger Layoffs | 33.429k | -- | 45.849k | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales YoY | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Retail Sales MoM | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Construction PMI | 44.7 | 40.0 | 38.4 | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Production MoM | -1.0% | 0.3% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Unemployment Rate Adjusted | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Unemployment Rate Unadjusted | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | Low impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Industrial Orders MoM | 3.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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