Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
259Beat forecast
289Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, August 13, 2026
10 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate YoY | 1.1% | -- | 1.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Industrial Production MoM | -0.2% | 0.1% | -0.5% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Goods Trade Balance | -23.01B | -20.40B | -18.66B | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Business Investment QoQ Prelim | 1.70% | -0.25% | 0.90% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Industrial Production YoY | -0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Services MoM | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate 3M/3M | 0.4% | -- | 0.7% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate MoM | 0.30% | -0.05% | 0.10% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.5% | -- | 2.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP QoQ Prelim | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, August 12, 2026
30 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese PPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese PPI YoY | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK RICS Housing Survey | -30 | -30 | -33 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Federal Budget Balance | -432.00B | -346.00B | -120.00B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 10-Year Note High Yield | 4.683% | -- | 4.580% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 10-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.530 | -- | 2.590 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | WASDE Corn End Stocks | 1653M | 1737M | 1790M | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | WASDE Cotton End Stocks | 4.00M | 3.99M | 4.10M | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | WASDE Soybean End Stocks | 320M | 300M | 310M | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | WASDE Wheat End Stocks | 717M | 720M | 722M | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -0.010M | -2.00M | -3.473M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 1.611M | -- | 2.356M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -0.968M | -1.10M | -1.643M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 17.423M | -1.80M | 2.479M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core CPI YoY | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Building Permits MoM | 18.5% | 0.8% | -1.7% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CPI MoM | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.4% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Current Account Balance NSA | 19.0B | -- | 10.4B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.77% | -- | 6.81% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | 3.6% | -- | -2.9% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Final | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Final | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Final | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Final | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP MoM Final | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Final | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
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