Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
289Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, August 14, 2026
8 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Trade Balance | 2B | -- | -5B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Employment Change QoQ Flash | 0.1% | -- | 0.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French HICP MoM Final | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French HICP YoY Final | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French CPI YoY NSA | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French CPI MoM NSA | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Wholesale Price Index YoY | 5.3% | -- | 4.9% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Wholesale Price Index MoM | 0.2% | -- | -0.7% | Low impact | No measurable move |
Thursday, August 13, 2026
32 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Visitor Arrivals | 1610 | -- | 1,860 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | -- | 59.7 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Export Price YoY | 49.1% | -- | 48.9% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Import Price YoY | 18.7% | -- | 20.6% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.390 | -- | 2.440 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond High Yield | 5.216% | -- | 5.058% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.625% | -- | 3.640% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.770 | -- | 2.680 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 36B | 31B | 33B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 209k | 202k | 199k | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.777M | 1.794M | 1.801M | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PPI YoY | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US PPI MoM | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US PPI YoY | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PPI MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Industrial Production MoM | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Industrial Production YoY | 0.1% | -0.6% | -1.2% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π³π΄ Norway | Norwegian Key Policy Rate | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish Core CPI YoY | 3.0% | -- | 2.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Final | 0.0% | -0.1% | -0.1% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Final | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Final | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Final | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss PPI YoY | -2.1% | -- | -2.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss PPI MoM | -0.1% | -- | -0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK GDP YoY Prelim | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -10.448B | -- | -7.138B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.5% | -0.1% | 0.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Construction Output MoM | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish CPI MoM | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish CPI YoY | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services MoM | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
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