Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
7 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Yield | 3.37% | -- | 3.58% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover | 1.1 | -- | 1.2 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI YoY | 13.8% | -- | 10.9% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI MoM | 2.9% | -- | 2.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss ZEW Expectations | -15.3 | -- | 2.6 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | -0.9% | -- | 1.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German GfK Consumer Sentiment | -30.8 | -30.3 | -30.6 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move |
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
33 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand Cash Rate | 2.75% | 3.00% | 2.75% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY | 3.9% | -- | 4.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY NSA | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQ | 1.0% | -- | 0.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Weighted Mean CPI YoY | 3.6% | -- | 3.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI QoQ | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Stock Change | -2.031M | 0.80M | -4.93M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | 0.38M | -- | -2.60M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 2.39M | -- | -2.577M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | -0.453M | -- | 0.936M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 5-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.330 | -- | 2.210 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 5-Year Note High Yield | 4.845% | -- | 5.033% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill High Yield | 4.290% | -- | 4.400% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.150 | -- | 3.070 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Richmond Fed Comp. Index | -2 | 0 | -2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US New Home Sales Change MoM | -0.6% | -4.5% | 6.4% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US New Home Sales - Units | 0.676M | 0.6505M | 0.684M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CB Consumer Confidence | 91.7 | 81.0 | 81.9 | High impact | Beat | Gold (GC Dec26) +0.26% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CaseShiller 20 YoY | 2.70% | 2.61% | 2.50% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index YoY | 2.4% | -- | 2.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index MoM | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 9.3% | -- | 9.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Durable Goods | 1.8% | 1.9% | -0.1% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core Durable Goods | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 16.75k | -- | 18.50k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover | 1.3 | -- | 1.1 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Yield | 3.08% | -- | 3.10% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Money-M3 Annual Growth | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Loans to Households | 3.1% | -- | 3.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Loans to Non Financial Firms | 4.2% | -- | 4.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Consumer Confidence | 80 | 85 | 86 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move |
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