Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
31 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand PPI Outputs QoQ | 1.6% | -- | 0.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | -1.438M | -- | 1.571M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.328M | -- | 9.072M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 1.076M | -- | -1.531M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -2.797M | -- | -0.596M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Homes Index | 71.2 | -- | 72.5 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Home Sales Change MoM | -2.3% | 0.0% | -5.4% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Industrial Production YoY | 1.08% | -- | 1.14% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Manufacturing Output MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Capacity Utilization | 76.3% | 76.3% | 76.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Industrial Production MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Redbook YoY | 7.6% | -- | 8.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts | 1.239M | 1.345M | 1.427M | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts Change MoM | -12.4% | -5.9% | 19.0% | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits Change MoM | 5.0% | 0.6% | -2.6% | Low impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits | 1.443M | 1.375M | 1.374M | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Export Prices MoM | -1.3% | 0.0% | -0.6% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Import Prices MoM | -0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian House Starts, Annualized | 229.1k | 250.0k | 239.0k | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 9.50k | -- | 8.25k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Bid-to-Cover | 3.65 | -- | 3.13 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 34.2 | 30.0 | 26.3 | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German ZEW Current Conditions | -61.1 | -69.3 | -77.6 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone ZEW Survey Expectations | 31.4 | -- | 23.4 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Yield | 5.155% | -- | 5.04% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Weekly Earnings YoY | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change SA | -13k | 0k | -4k | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Change | -11.0k | 16.5k | 6.7k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change 3M/3M | 83k | 130k | 147k | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Rate | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move |
Monday, August 17, 2026
9 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Consumer Sentiment | 6.0% | -- | 4.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Overall Net Capital Flows | 133.5B | -- | 132.2B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US TIC Long-Term Transactions | 172.7B | -- | 232.7B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 44.680% | -- | 82.940% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 18.550% | -- | 96.110% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.715% | -- | 3.735% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.860 | -- | 2.880 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.970 | -- | 2.850 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 3.780% | -- | 3.830% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
See it live
Reactions to data like this, in real time
Open Live Feed