Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
35 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Participation Rate | 66.9% | 66.9% | 67.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 1 Yr | 3.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese PBoC Interest Rate 5 Yr | 3.50% | 3.50% | 3.50% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | -1249.9B | -- | -58.7B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | 1135.1B | -- | 1.0,629.4B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | 621.2B | -- | -368.5B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Imports YoY | 27.8% | 25.1% | 25.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Total Trade Balance | -634.5B | -649.0B | -406.9B | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Exports YoY | 23.2% | 20.1% | 19.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 1391.3B | -- | 963.5B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 20-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.530 | -- | 2.640 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 20-Year Bond High Yield | 5.204% | -- | 5.163% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | -1.314M | -- | 1.611M | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) +0.28% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 3 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 4.405M | 0.20M | 17.423M | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) +0.28% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 3 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -1.530M | -0.982M | -0.010M | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) +0.28% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 3 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 0.688M | -1.504M | -0.968M | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) +0.25% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 3 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -0.4% | -- | 3.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.77% | -- | 6.77% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Yield | 3.26% | -- | 3.13% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover | 1.1 | -- | 1.1 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone CPI YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Core CPI YoY Final | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone CPI MoM Final | 0.2% | 0.2% | -0.1% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account NSA | 46.90B | -- | -6.20B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account | 35.124B | -- | 25.100B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core CPI YoY | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CPI YoY | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices MoM | -1.7% | 0.0% | -2.0% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices YoY | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | 0.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CPI MoM | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices YoY | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK RPI MoM | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Tuesday, August 18, 2026
5 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Wage Price Index YoY | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Wage Price Index QoQ | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Core Machinery Orders YoY | 16.9% | 9.6% | -1.9% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Core Machinery Orders MoM | 9.7% | 7.2% | -12.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand PPI Inputs QoQ | 2.9% | -- | 1.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move |
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