Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, August 20, 2026
37 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Mfg PMI Flash | 55.1 | -- | 54.5 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Composite PMI Flash | 53.4 | -- | 52.7 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese CPI Overall Nationwide | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Core CPI Nationwide YoY | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Services PMI Flash | 52.9 | -- | 53.6 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Composite PMI Flash | 52.5 | -- | 53.2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.0 | -- | 52.0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Trade Balance | -1949.0M | -- | 23.0M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Annual Trade Bal. | -3.75B | -- | -3.75B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean PPI YoY | 7.7% | -- | 8.6% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean PPI MoM | -0.4% | -- | 0.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year TIPS High Yield | 2.973% | -- | 2.473% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year TIPS Bid-to-Cover | 2.820 | -- | 2.750 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.640% | -- | 3.625% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.840 | -- | 2.770 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 16B | 14B | 36B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Leading Index Change MoM | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.2% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Philly Fed Business Index | 47.40 | 24.75 | 41.40 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian PPI YoY | 12.4% | -- | 12.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian RMPI MoM | -2.2% | -2.0% | -6.9% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.799M | 1.788M | 1.777M | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian PPI MoM | 0.6% | -0.5% | -1.4% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 206k | 210k | 209k | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Business Barometer | 57.64 | -- | 58.32 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CBI Orders | -25 | -40 | -45 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Construction Output MoM | -1.34% | -- | 0.38% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 8 Yr OAT Yield | 3.88% | -- | 3.45% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 8 Yr Bid-to-Cover | 2.693 | -- | 2.71 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 5 Yr OAT Yield | 3.37% | -- | 3.23% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 5 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 3.587 | -- | 3.11 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 3 Yr OAT Yield | 3.17% | -- | 3.04% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 3 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 3.664 | -- | 2.70 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish Riksbank Rate | 1.75% | -- | 1.75% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss Trade Balance | 8,730M | -- | 5,224M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI YoY | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI MoM | 1.1% | 0.6% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Unemployment rate SA | 4.0% | -- | 3.8% | High impact | No measurable move |
Wednesday, August 19, 2026
3 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Full Time Employment Chg. | 16.3k | -- | 29.3k | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Unemployment Rate | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Employment Change | -15.8k | 12.0k | 76.3k | High impact | Miss | No measurable move |
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