Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
16 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US Kansas City Fed Composite Index | 10.0 | 9.5 | 9.0 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 15B | 15B | 16B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Advance Goods Trade Balance | -118.80B | -100.50B | -101.41B | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.778M | 1.792M | 1.799M | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Adv. | 0.7% | -- | -0.4% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Advance | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 203k | 208k | 206k | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Current Account | 8.836B | 3.90B | -7.18B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Loans to Non Financial Firms | 4.4% | -- | 4.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Loans to Households | 3.1% | -- | 3.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Money-M3 Annual Growth | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π«π· France | French PPI YoY | 3.4% | -- | 2.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French PPI MoM | 1.1% | -- | -0.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss Non-Farm Payrolls | 5.698M | -- | 5.537M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish Trade Balance | 1.2B | -- | 2.6B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³π΄ Norway | Norwegian Mainland GDP MoM | 0.0% | -- | 0.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Wednesday, August 26, 2026
24 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Capital Expenditure QoQ | -3.6% | 0.8% | 6.5% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Industrial profit YTD | 17.6% | -- | 18.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Building Capex | 2.1% | -- | -3.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Bank of Korea Base Rate | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.75% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | -869B | -- | 1,391.3B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | -764.1B | -- | 621.2B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 435.2B | -- | -1.0,249.9B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | -1978.4B | -- | 1.0,135.1B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 5-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.370 | -- | 2.280 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 5-Year Note High Yield | 4.393% | -- | 4.408% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 1.176M | -- | -1.314M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | 0.095M | 1.58M | 4.405M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -2.536M | -1.10M | 0.688M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -2.228M | -1.90M | -1.530M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US GDP QoQ 2nd Estimate | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | High impact | In line | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US GDP Deflator SA Prelim | 6.4% | -- | 6.3% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.32% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core Durable Goods | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Medium impact | In line | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Medium impact | In line | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Consumer Spending MoM | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Durable Goods | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.1% | Medium impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | Medium impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Personal Income MoM | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ proxy) -0.30% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 13 other releases at this time |
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