Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, August 28, 2026
27 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian GDP MoM | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Mfg Business Confidence | 89.9 | 90.0 | 89.6 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Consumer Confidence | 94.5 | 94.6 | 94.2 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | -1.0% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Change SA | 4.0k | 4.8k | 6.0k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total SA | 2.996M | -- | 2.993M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total NSA | 3.061M | -- | 3.007M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss KOF Indicator | 106.7 | 103.0 | 103.5 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Retail Sales YoY SA | -0.3% | -- | 0.5% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Flash | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Flash | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.70% | 0.60% | 0.30% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI YoY NSA Prelim | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI MoM NSA Prelim | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP YoY Prelim | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP MoM Prelim | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French GDP QoQ Final | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Non-Farm Payrolls Revised | -0.1% | -- | -0.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Consumer Spending MoM | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Imports Prices MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | -0.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇴 Norway | Norwegian Unemployment Rate NSA | 2.1% | -- | 2.1% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish GDP YoY Revised | 3.3% | -- | 2.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Import Prices YoY | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish GDP QoQ Revised | 1.6% | -- | 1.4% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Manufacturing Confidence | 3.7 | -- | 2.4 | Low impact | No measurable move |
Thursday, August 27, 2026
13 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Tokyo CPI Overall | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Jobs/Applicants Ratio | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.18 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Unemployment Rate | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 7-Year Bid-to-Cover | 2.500 | -- | 2.490 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 7-Year High Yield | 4.512% | -- | 4.473% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.650% | -- | 3.640% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.730 | -- | 2.840 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Kansas City Fed Manufacturing | 17 | -- | 17 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Kansas City Fed Composite Index | 10.0 | 9.5 | 9.0 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 15B | 15B | 16B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Advance Goods Trade Balance | -118.80B | -100.50B | -101.41B | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.778M | 1.792M | 1.799M | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move |
See it live
Reactions to data like this, in real time
Open Live Feed