Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Monday, August 31, 2026
20 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 66.770% | -- | 97.660% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.770 | -- | 3.080 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.770% | -- | 3.715% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.630 | -- | 3.050 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 49.270% | -- | 59.640% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 3.885% | -- | 3.790% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Dallas Fed Mfg. Bus. Index | 11.60 | 1.60 | 1.30 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Chicago PMI | 47.1 | 57.9 | 57.6 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German HICP YoY Prelim | 2.90% | 3.10% | 2.80% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German HICP MoM Prelim | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.90% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German CPI MoM Prelim | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.80% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German CPI YoY Prelim | 2.90% | 3.00% | 2.80% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish Current Account Balance | 2.41B | -- | 1.84B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | 0.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Saxony CPI YoY | 2.9% | -- | 2.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 2.9% | -- | 2.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | 0.9% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 2.9% | -- | 2.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Saxony CPI MoM | 0.1% | -- | 0.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Housing Starts YoY | 8.2% | 7.6% | 18.6% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move |
Sunday, August 30, 2026
9 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI | 49.0 | 49.5 | 49.0 | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Gross Company Profits | 1.8% | 2.0% | -1.3% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 49.5 | 49.2 | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Private Sector Credit | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Housing Credit | 0.5% | -- | 0.6% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Business Inventories | -0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Composite PMI | 49.5 | -- | 49.3 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity | 48.2 | -- | 49.3 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook | 53.7 | -- | 56.1 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
Friday, August 28, 2026
11 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 588 | -- | 588 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 447 | -- | 452 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Budget Balance | 0.99B | -- | -0.31B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Prelim Benchmark Payrolls Revision | -79K | 183K | -911K | High impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Expectations Final | 51.5 | 51.4 | 50.6 | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Sentiment Final | 51.7 | 51.0 | 51.0 | Medium impact | Beat | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Final | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Medium impact | In line | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Final | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | Medium impact | Beat | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Conditions Final | 51.9 | 52.0 | 51.8 | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.32% EUR/USD -0.22% Measured over 15 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian GDP QoQ Annualized | 3.3% | 3.4% | -0.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian GDP QoQ | 0.8% | -- | 0.0% | Low impact | No measurable move |
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