Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
29 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Yield | 3.09% | -- | 2.93% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Prelim | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Core CPI YoY Flash | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Prelim | 0.1% | 0.3% | -1.0% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone CPI MoM Flash | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone CPI YoY Flash | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Prelim | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Prelim | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Unemployment Rate | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Consumer Credit | 2.006B | 1.70B | 1.807B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Lending | 4.292B | 5.70B | 7.727B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing PMI Final | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.5 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Approvals | 56.053k | 59.35k | 58.200k | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK M4 Money Supply | -0.3% | -- | 0.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP YoY Final | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Final | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.8 | High impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) -0.27% Measured over 15 minutes from the print | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian GDP QoQ Final | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Manufacturing PMI Final | 54.3 | 54.1 | 54.1 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Manufacturing PMI | 51.1 | 51.5 | 51.5 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Manufacturing PMI | 57.1 | 54.0 | 53.2 | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Manufacturing PMI | 49.5 | 50.5 | 50.2 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Retail Sales YoY | 2.3% | -- | 1.5% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Nationwide House Price MoM | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Real Retail Sales MoM | -3.4% | 0.5% | -0.7% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Real Retail Sales YoY | -2.5% | -- | 0.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Nationwide House Price YoY | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Consumer Confidence | 35.5 | 35.3 | 34.9 | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Retail Sales YoY | 3.5% | -- | 4.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable |
Monday, August 31, 2026
11 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Manufacturing PMI | 51.5 | 51.0 | 50.9 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Building Approvals | -3.6% | -5.0% | 7.2% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Current Account Balance | -27.2B | -- | -27.1B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Private House Approvals | -4.2% | -- | 0.4% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Mfg PMI | 54.9 | -- | 55.1 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Manufacturing PMI | 52.3 | -- | 53.1 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Trade Balance Prelim | 34.748B | 30.10B | 30.39B | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Exports Prelim | 68.7% | 63.0% | 63.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean Imports Prelim | 22.5% | 25.0% | 26.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Manufacturing PMI Final | 52.0 | -- | 52.0 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 49.270% | -- | 59.640% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
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