Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
17 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | 35.8B | -- | -764.1B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Services PMI Final | 53.2 | -- | 52.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Composite PMI Final | 52.7 | -- | 52.5 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | 0.796M | -1.50M | -2.228M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 0.080M | -- | 1.176M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | -1.173M | -1.60M | -2.536M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -4.450M | 0.06M | 0.095M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core Durable Goods Revised | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Durable Goods Revised | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Factory Orders MoM | 0.9% | 0.7% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ) +0.24% Measured over 15 minutes from the print | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.25% | 2.25% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Employment Change | 38k | 47k | 44k | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.79% | -- | 6.78% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | 0.8% | -- | -1.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI YoY | 7.8% | -- | 5.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI MoM | 2.4% | -- | 0.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Budget Balance | -145.91B | -- | -106.77B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, September 1, 2026
23 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand Cash Rate | 2.75% | 2.75% | 2.50% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Real GDP QoQ | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Real GDP YoY | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Monetary Base YoY | -15.7% | -- | -13.8% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean CPI MoM | 0.20% | 0.40% | -0.20% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇰🇷 South Korea | South Korean CPI YoY | 3.10% | 3.20% | 2.80% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand Building Consents | -4.3% | -- | -3.6% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 0.2M | -- | 1.0M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 0.3M | -- | -3.2M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.3M | -- | -0.5M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.6M | -- | 4.2M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.610 | -- | 3.620 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill High Yield | 3.980% | -- | 3.880% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. Prices Paid | 71.1 | 70.8 | 71.1 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US JOLTS Job Openings | 7.271M | 7.313M | 7.359M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Construction Spending MoM | -0.5% | 0.0% | -0.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. Employment Index | 51.2 | 52.5 | 52.8 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Manufacturing PMI | 54.6 | 55.2 | 55.6 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ISM Mfg. New Orders Index | 53.7 | 56.8 | 56.7 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final | 53.9 | 53.4 | 53.2 | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Manufacturing PMI | 53.0 | -- | 53.5 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 9.6% | -- | 9.1% | Medium impact | Gold futures -0.73% Measured over 15 minutes from the print | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Bid-to-Cover | 1.6 | -- | 1.5 | Low impact | No measurable move |
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