Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, October 29, 2026
21 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Personal Income MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.701M | 1.72M | 1.728M | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP QoQ Advance | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP Deflator SA Advance | 2.2% | -- | 6.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Real Personal Consumption MoM | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | Medium impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Dec26) -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 1 other release at this time | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PCE Prices Advance | 2.1% | -- | 5.0% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 194k | 198k | 194k | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US GDP Price Index | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | High impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Dec26) -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 1 other release at this time | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Consumer Confidence | 90.3 | 91.0 | 91.2 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Mfg Business Confidence | 91.9 | 92.0 | 91.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Non-EU Flash Trade Balance | 2.83B | -- | 2.00B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Approvals | 53.443k | 54.00k | 54.918k | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK M4 Money Supply | 0.1% | -- | 0.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Lending | 3.866B | 4.20B | 4.410B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Consumer Credit | 1.914B | 2.00B | 2.464B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | High impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Dec26) +0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | |
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish GDP YoY Advance | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Retail Sales YoY SA | -1.4% | -- | -0.4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Manufacturing Confidence | 2.3 | -- | 4.2 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Consumer Confidence | 35.0 | 35.1 | 35.4 | Medium impact | Miss | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Dec26) +0.24% Measured over 10 minutes from the print |
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
19 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Import Prices QoQ | -1.1% | -- | 5.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Export Prices QoQ | 1.4% | -- | 1.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity | 46.2 | -- | 47.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook | 52.5 | -- | 51.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | 1180.9B | -- | -66.5B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | -161.6B | -- | -161.6B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 288.1B | -- | 128.3B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 1454.2B | -- | 1.0,454.2B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Interest Rate Decision | 4% | 4% | 4% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 3.870M | -1.00M | -2.952M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | -0.624M | -- | 0.987M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -1.462M | -1.075M | 1.675M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -1.892M | 0.00M | -3.060M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian BoC Rate Decision | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.25% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Advance Goods Trade Balance | -134.90B | -130.20B | -132.07B | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Advance | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Adv. | 0.4% | -- | 0.0% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | 3.4% | -- | -5.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 7.37% | -- | 7.41% | High impact | No measurable move |
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