Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, September 3, 2026
31 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.779M | 1.7835M | 1.778M | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Trade Balance | 0.77B | 3.175B | 3.86B | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 206k | 205k | 203k | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Labor Costs Revised | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Labor Productivity Rate | 1.0% | -- | -0.5% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Challenger Layoffs | 52.881k | -- | 33.429k | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone PPI YoY | 5.80% | 5.45% | 4.60% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone PPI MoM | 1.6% | 1.3% | -0.3% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French 20 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 3.07 | -- | 2.78 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French 15 Yr OAT Yield | 4.51% | -- | 4.03% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French 10 Yr OAT Yield | 4.19% | -- | 3.90% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French 15 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 2.92 | -- | 2.10 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French 10 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 2.28 | -- | 2.33 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French 20 Yr OAT Yield | 4.74% | -- | 4.27% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Composite PMI Final | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.5 | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Services PMI Final | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.8 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Services PMI Final | 51.6 | 51.7 | 51.7 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Composite Final PMI | 52.0 | 52.1 | 52.1 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Composite PMI Final | 51.8 | 51.0 | 51.0 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Services PMI Final | 49.7 | 48.5 | 48.5 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Services PMI | 48.0 | 48.4 | 48.4 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French Composite PMI | 48.5 | 48.8 | 48.8 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Composite PMI | 53.6 | 53.1 | 52.5 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Services PMI | 55.2 | 53.4 | 52.5 | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss GDP QoQ | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss GDP YoY | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI YoY | 31.51% | 31.60% | 31.75% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish CPI MoM | 1.84% | 1.92% | 1.78% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Core CPI YoY | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss CPI MoM | 0.4% | 0.0% | -0.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss CPI YoY | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move |
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
9 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Services PMI | 51.4 | 50.6 | 50.4 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Exports | -3.3% | -- | 9.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Imports | -2.5% | -- | -0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Trade Balance | 1,923M | 1500M | 1,929M | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Composite PMI Final | 53.5 | -- | 53.4 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Services PMI | 52.5 | -- | 52.3 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | -824B | -- | -1,978.4B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 35.8B | -- | -869.0B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 509.1B | -- | 435.2B | Medium impact | No measurable move |
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