Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
25 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese PPI YoY | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Unemployment Rate | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | -0.3M | -- | 0.2M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -1.9M | -- | 0.3M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.3M | -1.3M | -2.6M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | 2.0M | -- | -0.3M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Consumer Credit | 18.06B | 11.34B | 14.17B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Year Note High Yield | 4.474% | -- | 4.291% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.720 | -- | 2.710 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.610 | -- | 2.770 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.800% | -- | 3.770% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.880 | -- | 2.630 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 79.100% | -- | 49.270% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 3.890% | -- | 3.885% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 20.330% | -- | 66.770% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US NY Fed 1 Yr Inflation Expectations | 3.58% | 3.60% | 3.63% | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US NFIB Business Optimism Index | 98.70 | 99.30 | 99.80 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French Current Account | -4.7B | -- | -1.4B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French Trade Balance SA | -6.67B | -- | -5.85B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Exports MoM SA | -0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Trade Balance SA | 21.3B | 15.8B | 15.4B | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Imports MoM SA | -5.7% | -1.0% | 4.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Economy Watchers Poll | 46.4 | 46.2 | 45.7 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch CPI MoM | 0.3% | -- | 1.6% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch CPI YoY | 3.3% | -- | 3.2% | High impact | No measurable move |
Monday, September 7, 2026
15 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Consumer Sentiment | -5.2% | -- | 6.0% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese GDP QoQ Revised | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese GDP Deflator YoY Final | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | Low impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Current Account NSA Yen | 2988.9B | 2849.5B | -92.3B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese GDP Rev QoQ Annualised | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Bank Lending YoY | 5.4% | -- | 5.4% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Average Cash Earnings YoY | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK BRC Retail Sales YoY | 0.5% | -- | 1.0% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean GDP YoY Revised | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean GDP QoQ Revised | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Manufacturing Sales | 0.8% | -- | 3.6% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone GDP YoY Revised | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Employment QoQ Final | 0.1% | -- | 0.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone GDP QoQ Revised | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move |
See it live
Reactions to data like this, in real time
Open Live Feed