Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, September 10, 2026
24 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | -0.684M | -- | 0.080M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.775% | -- | 3.700% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.810 | -- | 2.970 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 40B | 34B | 30B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Wholesale Sales MoM | 0.8% | -- | -3.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Existing Home Sales | 3.98M | 3.98M | 4.06M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Existing Home Sales change | -2.0% | -1.7% | -1.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PPI YoY | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | Medium impact | Miss | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PPI YoY | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | Medium impact | In line | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US PPI MoM | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | Medium impact | In line | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 206k | 205k | 206k | Medium impact | Miss | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core PPI MoM | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Beat | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.774M | 1.78M | 1.779M | Medium impact | Beat | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.81% Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.48% EUR/USD -0.23% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 5 other releases at this time | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone ECB Interest Rate | 2.65% | 2.65% | 2.40% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone ECB Deposit Rate | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.25% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | Turkish Weekly Repo Rate | 37.00% | 37.00% | 37.00% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Production MoM | 0.7% | 0.3% | -1.0% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI YoY Final | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇳🇴 Norway | Norwegian CPI MoM | -0.3% | -- | 1.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German CPI MoM Final | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇳🇴 Norway | Norwegian CPI YoY | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German HICP MoM Final | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
14 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 449.6B | -- | 509.1B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | 690.0B | -- | 35.8B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | -481.6B | -- | 35.8B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | 111.9B | -- | -824.0B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK RICS Housing Survey | -28 | -30 | -30 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 10-Year Note High Yield | 4.834% | -- | 4.683% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 10-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.710 | -- | 2.530 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.3% | -- | 9.6% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 12.00k | -- | 11.75k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -2.7% | -- | 0.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.85% | -- | 6.79% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 10 Yr Bund Bid-to-Cover | 1.5 | -- | -- | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Industrial Production MoM | -0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Consumer Spending | 1.2% | -- | 1.7% | Low impact | No measurable move |
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese CPI MoM | 0.4% | -- | -0.1% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese CPI YoY | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | High impact | In line | No measurable move |
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