Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, September 11, 2026
31 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US Federal Budget Balance | -167.00B | -211.10B | -432.00B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 591 | -- | 588 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 450 | -- | 449 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | WASDE Wheat End Stocks | 717M | 717M | 717M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | WASDE Corn End Stocks | 1567.0M | 1521.5M | 1653.0M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | WASDE Cotton End Stocks | 3.6M | 3.9M | 4.0M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | WASDE Soybean End Stocks | 310.0M | 298.5M | 320.0M | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 1 Yr Inflation Prelim | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Condition Prelim | 50.9 | 51.3 | 51.9 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Sentiment Prelim | 47.8 | 51.0 | 51.7 | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan Expectations Prelim | 45.8 | 51.0 | 51.5 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US University Michigan 5 Yr Inflation Prelim | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | Low impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core CPI MoM | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core CPI YoY | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US CPI MoM | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Current Account Balance NSA | 21.2B | -- | 19.0B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π·πΊ Russia | Russian Interest Rate Decision | 14.00% | 14.00% | 14.00% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK 1 Yr Inflation Expectations | 3.2% | -- | 4.0% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.9% | 0.2% | -0.5% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate MoM | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate YoY | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK GDP Estimate 3M/3M | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Industrial Production MoM | 0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Goods Trade Balance | -20.96B | -22.40B | -23.01B | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.6% | -- | 0.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Services MoM | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Construction Output MoM | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -9.663B | -- | -10.448B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Industrial Production YoY | 0.6% | 0.2% | -0.2% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Trade Balance | 10.912B | -- | 10.432B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
Thursday, September 10, 2026
9 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Business Survey Index | 7.6% | -- | -1.8% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese PPI YoY | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese PPI MoM | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Manufacturing PMI | 53.1 | -- | 54.3 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.610 | -- | 2.390 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond High Yield | 5.308% | -- | 5.216% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 1.269M | -1.275M | -1.173M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | 2.087M | -0.70M | 0.796M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -0.391M | -1.35M | -4.450M | Medium impact | No measurable move |
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