Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, September 15, 2026
10 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π«π· France | French HICP MoM Final | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Average Weekly Earnings YoY | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Wholesale Price Index YoY | 6.8% | -- | 5.3% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Rate | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change SA | -26k | -5k | -13k | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Employment Change 3M/3M | 67k | 67k | 83k | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Wholesale Price Index MoM | 0.9% | -- | 0.2% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³π΄ Norway | Norwegian Trade Balance | 100.40B | -- | 84.30B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Unemployment Change | 27.8k | 5.0K | -11.0k | High impact | No measurable move |
Monday, September 14, 2026
30 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Retail Sales YoY | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Industrial Output YoY | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Unemployment Rate | 5.300% | 5.20% | 5.200% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¨π³ China | Chinese Urban Investment YTD YoY | -7.2% | -7.1% | -6.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π³ China | Chinese New House Prices YoY | -3.0% | -- | -3.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Trade Balance Revised | 34.79B | -- | 34.75B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Imports Revised | 22.4% | -- | 22.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Exports Revised | 68.7% | -- | 68.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Import Price YoY | 15.6% | -- | 18.7% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Export Price YoY | 42.4% | -- | 49.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 3.970% | -- | 3.800% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 13.860% | -- | 20.330% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.740 | -- | 2.880 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.640 | -- | 2.610 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 82.500% | -- | 79.100% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 4.060% | -- | 3.890% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI MoM | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.5% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Median | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Manufacturing Sales MoM | -0.4% | -0.2% | 0.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian BoC Core CPI YoY | 2.4% | -- | 2.3% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian BoC Core CPI MoM | 0.1% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Trim | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian Core CPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI Common | 2.6% | -- | 2.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian CPI YoY | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss PPI YoY | -0.7% | -- | -2.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π Switzerland | Swiss PPI MoM | 0.7% | -- | -0.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish CPI YoY | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πΈπͺ Sweden | Swedish CPI MoM | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Capacity Utilization MoM | 0.5% | -- | 4.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move |
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