Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
7 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices YoY | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK PPI Output Prices MoM | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK CPI MoM | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices YoY | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK PPI Input Prices MoM | 0.3% | 0.4% | -1.7% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish Unemployment Rate | 8.5% | -- | 7.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Core CPI YoY | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move |
Tuesday, September 15, 2026
33 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Core Machinery Orders MoM | -3.7% | -1.2% | 9.7% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Exports YoY | 19.3% | 18.4% | 23.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Imports YoY | 28.0% | 26.3% | 27.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Core Machinery Orders YoY | 11.2% | 9.6% | 16.9% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Total Trade Balance | -1105.607B | -1058.40B | -634.50B | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand Current Account QoQ | -1.67B | -2.60B | -1.008B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | 1.6M | -- | 2.0M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.1M | -1.8M | -0.3M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | -0.246M | -- | -0.30M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 1.5M | -- | -1.9M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 20-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.570 | -- | 2.530 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 20-Year Bond High Yield | 5.420% | -- | 5.204% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.5% | -- | 8.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Wholesale Sales MoM | 0.3% | -0.5% | 2.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US NY Fed Manufacturing | 7.60 | 15.00 | 20.60 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 16,250.0 | -- | 12,250.0 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Yield | 3.27% | -- | 2.85% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 2 Yr Schatz Bid-to-Cover | 1.3 | -- | 1.5 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German ZEW Economic Sentiment | 34.7 | 40.0 | 34.2 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German ZEW Current Conditions | -47.1 | -52.1 | -61.1 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone ZEW Survey Expectations | 25.8 | -- | 31.4 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Trade Balance | 5B | -- | 2B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Trade Balance NSA | 14.2B | -- | 8.6B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian International Trade Balance | 8.240B | -- | 4.232B | Low impact | Nasdaq 100 fut (NQ Sep26) -0.25% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Trade Balance EU | 1.251B | -- | 1.577B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Final | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Final | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Core CPI YoY | 2.9% | -- | 3.0% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Final | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Final | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI YoY NSA | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI MoM NSA | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP YoY Final | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move |
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