Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, September 17, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss Trade Balance | 3,786M | -- | 8,730M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Unemployment rate SA | 4.0% | -- | 4.0% | High impact | No measurable move |
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
38 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | -1522.8B | -- | 690.0B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 2236.2B | -- | 449.6B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | 1082.9B | -- | 111.9B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 169.2B | -- | -481.6B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand GDP QoQ | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand GDP YoY | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Overall Net Capital Flows | 83.7B | -- | 133.5B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US TIC Long-Term Transactions | -27.9B | -- | 172.7B | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Interest Rate Decision | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.75% | High impact | EUR/USD -0.20% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | 1.585M | 0.65M | 2.087M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -0.640M | -1.50M | -0.391M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | -0.342M | -- | -0.684M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 0.794M | -1.10M | 1.269M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US NAHB Housing Market Index | 32 | 34 | 35 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Business Inventories MoM | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Core Retail Sales MoM | 1.4% | 0.6% | -0.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Retail Sales YoY | 6.01% | -- | 5.01% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian Building Permits MoM | -17.3% | -4.8% | 18.5% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Retail Sales MoM | 1.2% | 0.8% | -0.6% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Import Prices MoM | 0.7% | 0.5% | -0.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Export Prices MoM | 0.6% | 0.6% | -1.3% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian House Starts, Annualized | 229.046k | 240.00k | 229.10k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 6.97% | -- | 6.85% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -4.1% | -- | -2.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 30 Yr Bund Yield | 3.90% | -- | 3.64% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German 30 Yr Bund Bid-to-cover | 2.425 | -- | 2.90 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Industrial Production MoM | -0.1% | -0.2% | 0.0% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Industrial Production YoY | 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.1% | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇪🇺 Eurozone | Eurozone Labour Costs YoY | 3.1% | -- | 3.2% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP MoM Final | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Final | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI YoY Final | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian CPI MoM Final | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇸🇪 Sweden | Swedish Unemployment Rate SA | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Core CPI MoM | 0.3% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK CPI YoY | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK RPI MoM | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Services CPI YoY | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move |
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