Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, September 18, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI MoM | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core Retail Sales YoY | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move |
Thursday, September 17, 2026
38 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese BoJ Rate Decision | 1.25% | 1.25% | 1.00% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Core CPI Nationwide YoY | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese CPI Overall Nationwide | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Trade Balance | -1,349.0M | -- | -1,949.0M | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Food Price Index | 0.3% | -- | 0.1% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Exports | 6.66B | -- | 7.39B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Imports | 8.00B | -- | 9.34B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³πΏ New Zealand | New Zealand Annual Trade Bal. | -5.24B | -- | -5.24B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean PPI YoY | 7.9% | -- | 7.7% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean PPI MoM | 0.2% | -- | -0.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 10-Year TIPS Bid-to-Cover | 2.240 | -- | 2.300 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 10-Year TIPS High Yield | 2.653% | -- | 2.438% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.820% | -- | 3.775% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.020 | -- | 2.810 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 44B | 48B | 40B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Home Sales Change MoM | 0.3% | -0.1% | -2.3% | High impact | Gold (GC Oct26) +0.29% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Pending Homes Index | 71.2 | -- | 71.2 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.730M | 1.779M | 1.774M | Medium impact | Beat | Gold (GC Oct26) -0.27% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Philly Fed Business Index | 37.8 | 32.1 | 47.4 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits | 1.394M | 1.408M | 1.433M | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts Change MoM | -2.6% | 6.7% | -12.4% | Low impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 196.0k | 206.5k | 206.0k | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian PPI YoY | 13.5% | -- | 12.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian PPI MoM | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Housing Starts | 1.275M | 1.32M | 1.239M | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π¨π¦ Canada | Canadian RMPI MoM | 3.1% | 0.8% | -2.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Building Permits Change MoM | -2.7% | -1.5% | 4.3% | Low impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK BoE Bank Rate | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% | High impact | GBP/USD -0.30% EUR/GBP +0.30% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 2 other releases at this time | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Hike | 3 | 3 | 3 | Medium impact | GBP/USD -0.30% EUR/GBP +0.30% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 2 other releases at this time | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 6 | 6 | 6 | Medium impact | GBP/USD -0.30% EUR/GBP +0.30% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 2 other releases at this time | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK BoE MPC Vote Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone CPI YoY Final | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone CPI MoM Final | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Core CPI YoY Final | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French 4 Yr OAT Yield | 3.78% | -- | 2.99% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 3 Yr OAT Yield | 3.59% | -- | 3.17% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 4 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 2.73 | -- | 3.03 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French 3 Yr OAT Bid-to-Cover | 2.926 | -- | 3.66 | Low impact | No measurable move |
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