Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, September 23, 2026
1 release| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch GDP YoY Final NSA | 1.6% | -- | 1.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
18 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Manufacturing PMI Flash | 49.3 | -- | 52.0 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Services PMI Flash | 51.4 | -- | 53.2 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Composite PMI Flash | 50.8 | -- | 52.7 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -2.16M | -- | 1.50M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -2.164M | -- | 1.60M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 2.082M | -- | -0.246M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.786M | -0.50M | 7.10M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 2-Year Note High Yield | 4.787% | -- | 4.204% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 2-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.630 | -- | 2.600 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Consumer Confidence Flash | -16.5 | -16.0 | -15.5 | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Richmond Fed Comp. Index | -2 | 2 | 4 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Redbook YoY | 7.6% | -- | 8.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US ADP Wkly Employment Change | 20.00k | -- | 16.25k | High impact | Gold (GC Oct26) +0.35% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK CBI Orders | -9 | -35 | -25 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Yield | 3.28% | -- | 3.09% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 5 Yr Bobl Bid-to-Cover | 1.2 | -- | 1.6 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK PSNB ex Banks | 18.268B | -- | 1.800B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Consumer Confidence Adjusted | -33 | -- | -34 | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Monday, September 21, 2026
7 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 48.010% | -- | 82.500% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.620 | -- | 2.740 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill High Yield | 4.015% | -- | 3.970% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 36.660% | -- | 13.860% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 4.155% | -- | 4.060% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.770 | -- | 2.640 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Chicago National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.035 | -0.08 | Medium impact | No measurable move |
Friday, September 18, 2026
14 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 452 | -- | 450 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count | 595 | -- | 591 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Leading Index Change MoM | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Industrial Production MoM | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Industrial Production YoY | 1.42% | -- | 1.08% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Manufacturing Output MoM | -0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Capacity Utilization | 76.3% | 76.4% | 76.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Construction Output MoM | 0.00% | -- | -1.34% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account NSA | 36.50B | -- | 46.90B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone Current Account | 27.628B | -- | 35.100B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Retail Sales YoY | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Retail Sales MoM | 0.5% | -0.2% | -0.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK Core Retail Sales MoM | 0.6% | -0.2% | -0.9% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German PPI YoY | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move |
See it live
Reactions to data like this, in real time
Open Live Feed