Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Friday, October 30, 2026
18 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Flash | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Flash | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | Medium impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French PPI YoY | 6.8% | -- | 4.8% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5% | 0.1% | -0.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French CPI MoM NSA Prelim | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1% | -- | -0.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French CPI YoY NSA Prelim | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French PPI MoM | 1.7% | -- | 1.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French HICP YoY Prelim | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French HICP MoM Prelim | 0.4% | 0.3% | -0.3% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP QoQ | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πͺπΈ Spain | Spanish Estimated GDP YoY | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Imports Prices MoM | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Import Prices YoY | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π«π· France | French GDP QoQ Prelim | -0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π«π· France | French GDP YoY Prelim | -0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Housing Starts YoY | -2.70% | 2.85% | 6.10% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable |
Thursday, October 29, 2026
22 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Housing Credit | 0.4% | -- | 0.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian Private Sector Credit | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π¦πΊ Australia | Australian PPI QoQ | 1.1% | -- | 1.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Large Scale Retail Sales YoY | 2% | -- | 1% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Retail Sales YoY | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Industrial Output MoM Prelim SA | 2.2% | 1.2% | -2.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Jobs/Applicants Ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Tokyo CPI Overall | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Unemployment Rate | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US 7-Year Bid-to-Cover | 2.460 | -- | 2.420 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 7-Year High Yield | 4.894% | -- | 5.085% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.100 | -- | 2.820 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.910% | -- | 3.945% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 80B | 72B | 77B | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone ECB Interest Rate | 2.65% | 2.65% | 2.65% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πͺπΊ Eurozone | Eurozone ECB Deposit Rate | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US PCE Price Index MoM | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PCE Prices Advance | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Consumer Spending MoM | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US PCE Price Index YoY | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move |
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