Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
35 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Own Activity | 47.9 | -- | 48.2 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | New Zealand NBNZ Business Outlook | 51.9 | -- | 53.7 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Industrial Output MoM Prelim SA | -1.7% | 1.3% | -0.2% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Retail Sales YoY | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Crude Oil Stock Change | 1.019M | -1.90M | 1.786M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Cushing Stock Change | 0.233M | -- | 2.082M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | 2.991M | -- | -2.16M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US API Distillate Stock Change | -0.286M | -- | -2.164M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill High Yield | 4.400% | -- | 3.980% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 52-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 3.070 | -- | 3.610 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CB Consumer Confidence | 81.9 | 89.0 | 89.4 | High impact | Miss | Gold (GC Dec26) +0.24% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 1 other release at this time | |
| 🇺🇸 United States | US JOLTS Job Openings | 7.079M | 7.2275M | 7.271M | Medium impact | Gold (GC Dec26) +0.24% Measured over 10 minutes from the print, which landed with 1 other release at this time | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index MoM | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US House Price Index YoY | 2.6% | -- | 2.3% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US CaseShiller 20 YoY | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US Redbook YoY | 8.2% | -- | 7.6% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇦 Canada | Canadian GDP MoM | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Bid-to-Cover | 3.34 | -- | 3.65 | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK 10 Yr Gilt Yield | 5.383% | -- | 5.155% | Low impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI YoY | 10.9% | -- | 7.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian PPI MoM | 2.4% | -- | 2.4% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Lending | 4.41B | 4.40B | 4.292B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK M4 Money Supply | 0.4% | -- | -0.3% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK BoE Consumer Credit | 2.464B | 1.90B | 2.006B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Mortgage Approvals | 54.918k | 56.10k | 56.053k | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Industrial Sales MoM | 1.7% | -- | -1.0% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss KOF Indicator | 109.1 | 106.0 | 106.7 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP YoY Flash | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Retail Sales YoY SA | -0.4% | -- | -0.3% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish HICP MoM Flash | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | Medium impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI MoM Flash | 0.30% | 0.10% | 0.70% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish CPI YoY Flash | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Leading Indicator Change Rev. | 1.5 | -- | 1.7 | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian RBA Cash Rate | 4.60% | 4.60% | 4.35% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇳🇱 Netherlands | Dutch Manufacturing Confidence | 4.2 | -- | 3.7 | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Monday, September 28, 2026
5 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Month Awarded High | 61.140% | -- | 36.660% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.640 | -- | 2.620 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Awarded High | 37.890% | -- | 48.010% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 3-Month Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.990 | -- | 2.770 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇺🇸 United States | US 6-Month Bill High Yield | 4.285% | -- | 4.155% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable |
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