Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
83Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
29 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian HICP YoY Prelim | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | High impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI MoM | 0.6% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Consumer Confidence | 91.2 | 94.4 | 94.5 | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | Italian Mfg Business Confidence | 91.9 | 90.5 | 89.9 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇪🇸 Spain | Spanish Current Account Balance | 5.91B | -- | 2.41B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North Rhine CPI MoM | 0.6% | -- | 0.2% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German North-Rhine CPI YoY | 3.3% | -- | 2.9% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇨🇠Switzerland | Swiss ZEW Expectations | 2.6 | -- | 12.1 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Bavaria CPI YoY | 3.2% | -- | 2.9% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total SA | 3.012M | -- | 2.996M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Rate | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | High impact | In line | No measurable move | |
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Total NSA | 2.994M | -- | 3.061M | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Unemployment Change SA | 12.0k | 0.5k | 4.0k | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI YoY NSA Prelim | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP MoM Prelim | 0.4% | -0.5% | 0.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French CPI MoM NSA Prelim | 0.3% | -0.5% | 0.7% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French PPI YoY | 4.8% | -- | 3.4% | High impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇫🇷 France | French HICP YoY Prelim | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | High impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇫🇷 France | French PPI MoM | 1.0% | -- | 1.1% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Imports Prices MoM | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Real Retail Sales YoY | -0.4% | -- | -2.5% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Import Prices YoY | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Business Investment QoQ | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP QoQ | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK GDP YoY | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | UK Current Account | -19.932B | -25.50B | -22.134B | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇩🇪 Germany | German Real Retail Sales MoM | 1.3% | 1.5% | -3.4% | Medium impact | Miss | No measurable move | |
| 🇯🇵 Japan | Japanese Housing Starts YoY | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
11 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Services PMI | 51.6 | 51.3 | 51.4 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 51.7 | 51.5 | High impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Housing Credit | 0.4% | -- | 0.5% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Private Sector Credit | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese Composite PMI | 50.7 | -- | 49.5 | Medium impact | No measurable move | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Private House Approvals | 3.7% | -- | -4.2% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian Building Approvals | -6.1% | -1.0% | -3.6% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI YoY NSA | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | High impact | Beat | AUD/USD -0.47% Measured over 10 minutes from the print | |
| 🇦🇺 Australia | Australian CPI Trimmed Mean YoY | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | High impact | In line | Price data unavailable | |
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI | 50.2 | 49.2 | 49.0 | Medium impact | Beat | No measurable move | |
| 🇨🇳 China | Chinese NBS Manufacturing PMI | 50.1 | 50.1 | 49.8 | High impact | In line | No measurable move |
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