Updated as data prints
Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast, and What Moved
Every released macro print we track, with the actual against forecast and the prior reading — and the move MoveSurge measured in the minutes after it, taken from the same clock as the print.
1987Releases shown
0Moved something
258Beat forecast
288Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast
Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.
Beat / miss
Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's direction — lower jobless claims and lower unemployment count as better. Blank where the direction is not well defined.
What moved
Measured against the release clock, not the close: a reference level just before the print, sampled again over the window named beside the figure. Most prints move nothing measurable, and those say so.
How each release has behaved
The print history for a single series, with the measured reaction to each one, split by beat and miss.
Thursday, October 8, 2026
14 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond High Yield | 5.618% | -- | 5.308% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 30-Year Bond Bid-to-Cover | 2.540 | -- | 2.610 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill High Yield | 3.980% | -- | 3.890% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 4-Week Bill Bid-to-Cover | 2.400 | -- | 2.830 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Natural Gas Change BCF | 85B | 82B | 64B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Wholesale Inventories MoM Revised | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Wholesale Sales MoM | 1.8% | -- | 0.8% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Initial Jobless Claims | 197k | 200k | 197k | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US Continued Jobless Claims | 1.716M | 1.70M | 1.701M | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Exports MoM SA | -0.8% | 0.9% | -0.8% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Trade Balance SA | 19.5B | 19.0B | 21.3B | Medium impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Imports MoM SA | 0.9% | 2.8% | -5.7% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Economy Watchers Poll | 47.0 | 46.7 | 46.4 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π³π± Netherlands | Dutch Consumer Spending | 2.1% | -- | 1.2% | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Wednesday, October 7, 2026
24 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds | 585.7B | -- | -1.0,341.8B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Bond Investment | -347.6B | -- | -684.5B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Current Account NSA Yen | 4062.0B | 3172.3B | 2.0,988.9B | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks | 2191.9B | -- | -362.0B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Foreign Stock Investment | 1324.6B | -- | 225.8B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π¬π§ United Kingdom | UK RICS Housing Survey | -32 | -30 | -28 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π°π· South Korea | South Korean Current Account Bal NSA | 46.113B | -- | 42.08B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US Consumer Credit | 8.28B | 15.00B | 18.06B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 10-Year Note High Yield | 5.300% | -- | 4.834% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US 10-Year Note Bid-to-Cover | 2.770 | -- | 2.710 | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US NY Fed 1 Yr Inflation Expectations | 3.90% | 3.64% | 3.58% | Medium impact | Miss | Price data unavailable | |
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Distillate Inventories | -0.042M | -1.52M | -2.251M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Oil Inventories | -3.186M | 1.915M | 0.922M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Gasoline Inventories | 0.382M | -1.611M | -1.684M | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories | 0.444M | -- | 0.553M | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate | 7.49% | -- | 7.30% | High impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US MBA Mortgage Applications | -4.2% | -- | -6.0% | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 7 Yr Bund Yield | 3.36% | -- | 2.68% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German 7 yr Bund Bid-to-Cover | 1.4 | -- | 1.2 | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π«π· France | French Trade Balance SA | -6.12B | -- | -6.67B | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π«π· France | French Current Account | -1.5B | -- | -4.7B | Medium impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| π©πͺ Germany | German Industrial Production MoM | 2.0% | 0.5% | -1.1% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π©πͺ Germany | German Industrial Production YoY SA | 2.33% | 0.70% | -1.63% | High impact | Beat | Price data unavailable | |
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Leading Indicator Change | 0.4 | -- | 1.5 | Low impact | Price data unavailable |
Tuesday, October 6, 2026
2 releases| Time | Country | Event | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Impact | Result | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| π―π΅ Japan | Japanese Average Cash Earnings YoY | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | Low impact | Price data unavailable | ||
| πΊπΈ United States | US API Gasoline Stock Change | -1.40M | -- | 2.991M | High impact | Price data unavailable |
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