US markets, Wednesday 4 November 2026

Taiwan's overnight interbank rate opens steady at 0.805%, matching the previous session's level Nasdaq 100 (index) · 28,035.65 → 27,818.65

Bank of Korea issues 1-year monetary stabilization bonds yielding 3.510%. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,655.40 → 27,732.90

China Ministry of Finance will auction 60 billion yuan of 182-day treasury bills on November 11. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,707.90 → 27,649.15

DDHQ now estimates a 99% probability that Democrats will secure the House, up from 84% before the elections. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,823.40 → 27,680.90

Decision Desk now assigns Democrats an 86.3% probability to secure the Senate, up from 65% before the election, while Republicans' chances dropped to 13.7% from 35%. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,642.90 → 27,521.90

Decision Desk HQ reports Sherrod Brown, the Democratic candidate, at 51.2% and Republican candidate Jon Husted at 44.5% in the Ohio US Senate Special Election, with 50% of votes in and the race rated Toss-up. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 28,068.40 → 27,945.40

Decision Desk HQ reports the Florida Governor race with the Democrat candidate at 54.7% and the Republican candidate at 41.8%, with 23% of votes in. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 28,234.90 → 28,134.35

DDHQ forecasts a Democratic victory in the Iowa Governor race as anticipated Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,624.40 → 27,539.65

Democrat Hobbs secures the Arizona governor position, maintaining Democratic control, with DDHQ assigning a 76.0% probability to her victory. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,549.40 → 27,633.40

Decision Desk HQ reports James Talarico, the Democratic candidate, at 57.5% and Republican candidate Ken Paxton at 41.0% in the Texas US Senate race, with 37% of votes in. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,745.40 → 27,819.40

Chinese general services PMI decreased to 50.8 in October from 51.6 in September. Nasdaq 100 (index) · 27,671.15 → 27,779.65

Hong Kong S&P Global October PMI at 50.2 vs 49.2 in September Nasdaq 100 (index) · 28,042.40 → 27,973.65

Euro climbs 0.6% to reach $1.1259 EUR/USD (FX) · 1.13 → 1.12