Insights › Market reaction

Trump waived the Russia sanctions law's tariffs on October 16, 2026, and Rubio says a decision could take 60 days

The order lifts, for now, the threat of 100% tariffs on the biggest buyers of Russian oil, as Brent settled at $109.86 on Middle East supply attacks.

Published in ET: Feed time in ET: Macro +3.70% on the day
  • An executive order dated October 16, 2026 waived the tariffs and most sanctions in the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act before they took effect on October 18.
  • Rubio said on October 17 that Trump would take up to 60 days to weigh the economic effects; the order itself has no end date.
  • The waiver covers 100% tariffs on the five largest importers of Russian oil and gas, a group that includes India and China.
Editorial image for Trump waived the Russia sanctions law's tariffs on October 16, 2026, and Rubio says a decision could take 60 days
MoveSurge editorial event image. No price reaction is implied.

President Trump signed an executive order on Friday, October 16, 2026 waiving the tariffs and most of the sanctions in the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, two days before they were due to take effect on October 18. On Saturday Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Trump would take up to 60 days to judge what the measures would do to the US and world economies before deciding whether to impose them. The waiver removes, for now, the threat of 100% tariffs on the largest buyers of Russian oil, a group that includes India and China.

The order uses the waiver power in Section 115 of the law, which Trump signed on September 18, and requires a written national-interest certification to Congress. It has no end date and lasts until the President or the Secretary of State decides otherwise, so the 60 days Rubio described is a review period the administration set itself.

What the waiver covers

Measure in the lawStatus after October 16
Tariffs of up to 500% on Russian goodsWaived
100% tariffs on the five largest importers of Russian oil and gasWaived
100% tariffs on the five countries most involved in evading oil sanctionsWaived
Most of the law's sanctions provisionsWaived
Sanctions imposed under earlier executive ordersUnchanged

White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said enforcing the measures now would interfere with US efforts to negotiate a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called the waiver wrong and said in a Bloomberg interview on Sunday that steps had been taken to push Ukraine toward capitulation.

Why it matters for oil

The secondary tariffs were the part of the law aimed at Russia's export revenue: a 100% tariff on any large buyer that kept importing Russian crude would have forced India and China to choose between Russian oil and the US market. Rubio named India as a partner that still depends heavily on Russian supply. With the tariffs waived, those barrels keep flowing at a time when the market is short of supply for other reasons. In the week to October 16 Brent rose 4.9% and WTI 10.4%, after a missile was intercepted near Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port, a drone struck Russia's Ryazan refinery and attacks continued around the Strait of Hormuz.

Bar chart of oil settlement prices: WTI $95.09, $97.97 and $101.41 and Brent $106.06, $105.92 and $109.86 on October 14, 15 and 16, 2026
WTI and Brent settlement prices from October 14 to October 16, 2026.
SettlementWTI (November)Brent (December)
Wednesday, October 14$95.09$106.06
Thursday, October 15$97.97$105.92
Friday, October 16$101.41$109.86

On October 16 Brent rose 3.7% to its highest settlement since May 19 and touched $110 during the session, while WTI gained 3.5% to its highest since September 17. The waiver was the second easing of Russia measures in October: about a week earlier the administration had temporarily waived sanctions on Russian diesel, and Rubio said Russia would initially supply more than 300,000 metric tons of diesel to the United States. On October 14 a US official said the administration was also considering easing sanctions on shadow-fleet tankers so they could carry oil that is not itself sanctioned, to bring down record freight rates.

What happens next

Rubio's 60-day window runs to mid-December. Sanctions that predate the new law stay in force, and the order lets the President reinstate any waived measure at any time, so the tariffs on Russian oil buyers can return without new legislation. The same week, US officials floated moving some frozen Russian central bank assets into a vehicle supervised by Washington to restart peace talks, and European officials rejected the idea, the Financial Times reported.

Did Trump waive Russia sanctions?

Yes. An executive order dated October 16, 2026 waived the tariffs and most of the sanctions in the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act before they took effect on October 18. Sanctions imposed under earlier executive orders remain.

What did Rubio say about 60 days?

On October 17, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Trump would take up to 60 days to assess what the sanctions and tariffs would do to the US and world economies. The order itself sets no end date.

Are the tariffs on India for Russian oil waived?

The law's 100% tariffs on the five largest importers of Russian oil and gas, which would have hit India and China, are waived for now and can be reinstated by the President.

How did oil prices move?

Brent settled at $109.86 on October 16, up 3.7%, and rose 4.9% for the week. WTI settled at $101.41 and gained 10.4% for the week.

Sources

Never miss the next market-moving story

Follow the core market-moving feed across equities, macro, currencies and commodities. Your subscription includes price moves after the news, search, watchlists, alerts and research tools.

Create free accountGo real time Watch live headlines -- free
See live news
The next market-moving story will not wait

See the important story while it still matters.

Seven market specialists bring experience dating back to 2006. MoveSurge adds the speed, coverage, and clear format built for today’s market.

Core market coverageEquities, macro, currencies and commodities Clear in secondsThe story, source, context, and measured move together Built on evidenceReal headlines, timestamps, prices, and trusted sources
Go real time View the live feed Subscription renews automatically. Cancel before renewal. Information only—no trade calls.