Six Retail Earnings in Three Days: Every Reaction Measured From the Print
Six large retailers reported within three days. Five beat. The measured reactions still ran from one extreme to the other.
- Five of six beat on the first headline; the fifteen-minute verdicts ran from -19.98% to 4.09%.
- Every reaction is measured from the instant that company's own first headline crossed.
- The two sign reversals of the week came on the two smallest first reads.
Between 18 August 2026 and 20 August 2026, six large US retailers reported earnings. 5 of the six beat the consensus estimate on the first headline. Measured from the instant each first headline crossed the tape, the fifteen-minute verdicts still ran from -19.98% (Advance Auto Parts) to 4.09% (Ross Stores) — a spread of 24.07 points across one sector in three days.
A beat was no protection. Walmart beat on adjusted EPS and fell 7.45% in the first fifteen minutes anyway, closing that session -9.15%. The one clear miss of the group, Advance Auto Parts, was the hardest hit: -19.98% in the window, -24.55% by the close.
Six prints, measured the same way
| Company | First read | First 15 min | Session | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advance Auto Parts (AAP) | 20 August 2026, 10:30 UTC | miss | -19.98% | -24.55% |
| Walmart (WMT) | 20 August 2026, 11:00 UTC | beat | -7.45% | -9.15% |
| TJX Companies (TJX) | 19 August 2026, 11:30 UTC | beat | -3.91% | -4.21% |
| Target (TGT) | 19 August 2026, 10:30 UTC | beat | -1.00% | 4.28% |
| Home Depot (HD) | 18 August 2026, 10:00 UTC | beat | 0.57% | -0.12% |
| Ross Stores (ROST) | 20 August 2026, 20:01 UTC | beat | 4.09% | 4.39% |
Target is the caution against trusting any first read. Measured from its print, the stock faded 1.00% in the first fifteen minutes; it closed that session up 4.28%. Home Depot drifted the other way, from 0.57% in the window to -0.12% at the close. The four names whose window moves were material all kept their sign through the close; the only two reversals of the week came on the two smallest first reads.
The dispersion is the finding. These six chains share a sector, a season and a wire format, and the tape still treated each print on its own terms: the best measured reaction of the week printed the same day as the report that cost its company a quarter of its market value. Sector labels carried very little of the information; the specific print carried nearly all of it.
How these numbers were measured
Every reaction figure on this page is MoveSurge's own measurement: the price captured at the instant each headline crossed our tape, then one and fifteen minutes later, with traded volume compared against the same window's norm for that name. None of it is quoted from another outlet's account of the move. The pipeline that takes these measurements is described on our editorial standards page.
Which retailer fell the most after earnings in August 2026?
Advance Auto Parts. Measured from the instant its first earnings headline crossed at 10:30 UTC on 20 August 2026, the stock moved -19.98% in fifteen minutes and closed that session -24.55%.
Did Walmart stock fall after beating estimates in August 2026?
Yes. Walmart's first headline carried a beat, and the stock still moved -7.45% in the first fifteen minutes, closing the session -9.15%.
Did the first fifteen minutes predict the close for these retailers?
For four of the six, the close kept the sign of the first fifteen minutes. The two reversals were the two smallest first reads: Target went -1.00% in the window to 4.28% by the close, and Home Depot faded from a small gain to roughly flat.
Sources
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Walmart (WMT) Q2 2027 earnings - CNBC
Walmart reported Q2 FY27 results on 20 August 2026: revenue $187.9bn up 5.9%, adjusted EPS $0.81 versus roughly $0.74 expected; the full-year adjusted EPS outlook of $2.80-$2.87 sat below the roughly $2.90 consensus.
-
Target (TGT) Q2 2026 earnings - CNBC
Target reported Q2 2026 results on 19 August 2026: GAAP and adjusted EPS $4.11 versus $2.05 a year earlier, including $1.65 of tariff refund benefits; net sales up 5.3% with comparable sales up 3.8%; full-year EPS guidance $9.90-10.90.
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