Updated as data prints

Economic Data Releases: Actual vs Forecast

Every released macro print we track -- actual result against forecast and the prior reading, with impact level and whether it beat or missed. MoveSurge pairs this with live market reaction on the tape.

1984Releases tracked
737High impact
296Beat forecast
234Missed forecast
Actual vs forecast

Actual is the number that printed. Forecast is the consensus estimate going in. Previous is the last reading for the same series.

Impact level

How much this indicator typically moves markets -- High series like CPI and NFP versus routine Low releases.

Beat / miss

Beat means the print was better than forecast for that indicator's polarity; Miss means worse. Not shown when direction isn't well-defined.

Thursday, June 25, 2026

4 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish GDP YoY 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% High impact In line
3:00 AM ET πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Έ Spain Spanish GDP QoQ 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% High impact In line
2:45 AM ET πŸ‡«πŸ‡· France French Consumer Confidence 84 83 82 Medium impact Beat
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Leading Indicator Change Rev. 0.7 -- 0.5 High impact

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

24 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Full Time Employment Chg. 5.2k -- -10.7k Medium impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Employment Change 40.3k 32.5k -18.6k High impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Participation Rate 66.7% 66.7% 66.7% High impact
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian Unemployment Rate 4.4% 4.4% 4.5% High impact In line
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds -1057.3B -- -531.0B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Investment Japanese Stocks 479.4B -- -785.1B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Stock Investment 426.8B -- -418.3B Medium impact
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Foreign Bond Investment 199.7B -- 382.6B Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note High Yield 4.200% -- 4.182% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 5-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.350 -- 2.340 Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Distillate Inventories 3.064M -1.05M 0.951M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Oil Inventories -6.088M -3.60M -8.263M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Gasoline Inventories 2.064M -1.097M -0.906M Medium impact
10:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US EIA Crude Cushing Inventories -1.077M -- -1.606M Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales Change MoM -7.3% 3.2% -6.2% Low impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US New Home Sales - Units 0.580M 0.6399M 0.622M High impact
8:30 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Current Account -226.8B -208.9B -190.7B Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA Mortgage Applications 1.0% -- -3.8% Medium impact
7:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate 6.59% -- 6.60% High impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­ Switzerland Swiss ZEW Expectations -25.0 -- -11.1 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Business Climate 85.6 85.5 84.9 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Current Conditions 87.0 86.3 86.1 Medium impact
4:00 AM ET πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany German IFO Expectations 84.1 84.8 83.8 Medium impact
1:00 AM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Chain Store Sales YoY 3% -- 1% High impact

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

12 releases
Time Country Event Actual Forecast Previous Impact Result
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian CPI YoY NSA 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% High impact Beat
9:30 PM ET πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ί Australia Australian CPI Trimmed Mean YoY 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% High impact Miss
7:50 PM ET πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Japanese Service PPI 3.3% 3.3% 3.0% Medium impact In line
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Gasoline Stock Change 1.238M -- 2.479M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Cushing Stock Change -0.982M -- -1.523M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Crude Oil Stock Change -0.765M -- -8.33M High impact
4:30 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US API Distillate Stock Change 1.447M -- -0.461M High impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note High Yield 4.189% -- 4.071% Medium impact
1:00 PM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US 2-Year Note Bid-to-Cover 2.640 -- 2.640 Medium impact
10:00 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US Richmond Fed Comp. Index 4 8 13 Medium impact
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Composite PMI Flash 52.2 52.1 51.5 Medium impact Beat
9:45 AM ET πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States US S&P Services PMI Flash 51.3 51.1 50.7 Medium impact Beat
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